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December 27, 2024

2024 Presidential Pollster Ratings

 

2024 Presidential Pollster Ratings
Accuracy
National 0.043
Arizona 0.080
Georgia 0.025
Iowa 0.164
Michigan 0.055
New Hampshire 0.132
Nevada 0.065
Pennsylvania 0.043
Wisconsin 0.041

 

As a reference: The average absolute accuracy for all national polls in the 2020 presidential election was 0.085.The average absolute accuracy for all national polls in the 2016 presidential election was 0.070. The average absolute accuracy for all national polls in the 2012 presidential election was 0.055. The average absolute accuracy for all national polls in the 2008 presidential election was 0.037.

 


 

December 23, 2024

Biden Job Approvals and the National Economy

 

Biden Job Approval Ratings
12/20/24 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 37% 56% 7%
Economy 36% 58% 6%

 

A total of 37% of Americans say they approve of the way Joe Biden is handling his job and 56% disapprove. In November, 41% approved of the job Biden was doing and 53% disapproved of the job Biden was doing.

When it comes to Biden's handling of the economy, 36% of Americans approve and 58% disapprove. In November, 40% approved of the way Biden was handling the economy and 55% disapproved of the way Biden was handling the economy.

Among Americans registered to vote, 38% approve of the way Biden is handling his job as president and 55% disapprove. On Biden's handling of the economy, 36% of registered voters approve and 57% disapprove.

Details from the nationwide survey conducted December 17-20 are available at The National Economy.

 


 

December 20, 2024

The New Hampshire Poll

Biden and Sununu Job Approvals in New Hampshire

 

Biden Job Approval Ratings in NH
12/19/2024 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 35% 60% 5%
Economy 33% 61% 6%

 

Sununu Job Approval Ratings
12/19/2024 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 63% 30% 7%
Economy 59% 35% 6%

 

Results from the December 2024 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are now available. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their personal finances, Chris Sununu, and Joe Biden.

Also, New Hampshire residents graded Chris Sununu's eight years as governor. 60% gave Sununu a grade of A or B. Details are here.

 


 

November 21, 2024

2024 Christmas Spending

 

Shoppers around the country say they are planning to spend an average of $820 for gifts this holiday season, up from $793 last year according to the 40th annual survey on holiday spending. Average planned gift spending for 2024 is $27 above the average planned spending in 2023.

Details of the survey are here.

 


 

Conflicting polls? A 95% confidence level in the long run drops to 75% in the single case. A review of our pollster accuracy ratings confirm this overlooked result.

 


 

Why doesn't most advertising work? Take a look at 10 Rules for More Effective Advertising.

 

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