American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

March 28, 2019

Quarterly Survey – March 2019

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 557 interviews were among registered voters (176 Republicans, 158 Democrats, and 223 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted March 21 through 27, 2019.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 557 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 40% 26% 20% 14%
Voters 42% 27% 18% 13%
12/1836%37%14%13%
9/1839%39%16%6%
6/1829%45%18%8%
3/1830%57%11%2%
12/1745%43%6%6%
9/1740%50%6%4%
6/1745%45%4%6%
3/1750%40%5%5%
12/1627%45%28%8%
9/1639%30%23%8%
6/1622%34%42%2%
3/1615%60%19%6%
12/1523%39%26%11%
9/1525%43%20%12%
6/15 26% 43% 26% 7%
3/15 20% 46% 30% 4%
12/14 26% 39% 29% 6%
9/14 26% 40% 20% 14%
6/14 16% 53% 22% 9%
3/14 18% 42% 31% 10%
12/13 14% 57% 26% 3%
9/13 19% 47% 23% 11%
6/13 24% 47% 24% 5%
3/13 16% 50% 27% 7%
12/12 16% 47% 27% 10%
9/12 29% 41% 23% 7%
6/12 18% 37% 36% 9%
3/12 23% 41% 26% 10%
12/11 14% 46% 29% 11%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided
Total sample 28% 43% 22% 7%
Voters 28% 43% 22% 7%
12/1823%45%24%8%
9/1824%58%7%11%
6/1837%31%29%3%
3/1842%37%16%5%
12/1732%43%21%4%
9/1723%49%22%6%
6/1730%41%24%5%
3/1732%40%25%3%
12/1624%41%22%13%
9/1638%42%12%8%
6/168%60%29%3%
3/1614%70%11%5%
12/1530%43%22%5%
9/1525%58%13%4%
6/15 34% 50% 15% 1%
3/15 22% 51% 22% 5%
12/14 32% 43% 17% 8%
9/14 26% 44% 13% 17%
6/14 23% 53% 17% 7%
3/14 26% 43% 24% 7%
12/13 23% 48% 22% 7%
9/13 24% 45% 19% 12%
6/13 33% 49% 17% 1%
3/13 32% 40% 21% 7%
12/12 35% 30% 28% 7%
9/12 32% 38% 13% 17%
6/12 27% 41% 14% 18%
3/12 35% 38% 16% 11%
12/11 34% 38% 22% 6%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided
Total sample 27% 36% 29% 8%
Voters 27% 35% 29% 9%
12/1826%36%29%9%
9/1833%41%17%9%
6/1844%21%29%6%
3/1850%28%19%3%
12/1733%36%25%6%
9/1729%35%27%9%
6/1732%31%29%8%
3/1735%27%30%8%
12/1627%38%24%11%
9/1649%27%14%10%
6/1627%37%25%11%
3/1636%49%10%5%
12/1532%38%18%12%
9/1525%40%21%14%
6/15 33% 42% 17% 8%
3/15 23% 40% 20% 17%
12/14 29% 41% 19% 11%
9/14 34% 34% 18% 14%
6/14 34% 34% 20% 12%
3/14 32% 33% 27% 8%
12/13 32% 36% 22% 10%
9/13 33% 35% 20% 12%
6/13 38% 34% 25% 3%
3/13 32% 37% 21% 10%
12/12 42% 27% 21% 10%
9/12 46% 20% 12% 22%
6/12 35% 27% 14% 24%
3/12 43% 28% 16% 13%
12/11 38% 35% 13% 14%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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