American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

September 23, 2024

Quarterly Survey – September 2024

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 550 interviews were among registered voters (182 Republicans, 166 Democrats, and 202 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted September 19 through 22, 2024.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 550 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 40% 35% 21% 4%
Voters 42% 35% 18% 5%
6/2435%35%17%13%
3/2435%29%25%11%
12/2327%30%26%17%
9/2326%35%24%15%
6/2319%40%17%24%
3/2324%40%19%17%
12/2230%32%22%16%
9/2237%34%16%13%
6/2240%42%7%11%
3/2232%40%8%20%
12/2129%41%15%15%
9/2130%40%14%16%
6/2129%35%15%21%
3/2121%34%20%25%
12/2024%30%31%15%
9/2030%34%15%21%
6/2032%30%18%20%
3/2047%18%27%8%
12/1940%45%14%1%
9/1942%33%14%11%
6/1939%33%18%10%
3/1940%26%20%14%
12/1836%37%14%13%
9/1839%39%16%6%
6/1829%45%18%8%
3/1830%57%11%2%
12/1745%43%6%6%
9/1740%50%6%4%
6/1745%45%4%6%
3/1750%40%5%5%
12/1627%45%28%8%
9/1639%30%23%8%
6/1622%34%42%2%
3/1615%60%19%6%
12/1523%39%26%11%
9/1525%43%20%12%
6/15 26% 43% 26% 7%
3/15 20% 46% 30% 4%
12/14 26% 39% 29% 6%
9/14 26% 40% 20% 14%
6/14 16% 53% 22% 9%
3/14 18% 42% 31% 10%
12/13 14% 57% 26% 3%
9/13 19% 47% 23% 11%
6/13 24% 47% 24% 5%
3/13 16% 50% 27% 7%
12/12 16% 47% 27% 10%
9/12 29% 41% 23% 7%
6/12 18% 37% 36% 9%
3/12 23% 41% 26% 10%
12/11 14% 46% 29% 11%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 40% 26% 11% 23%
Voters 42% 26% 10% 22%
6/2423%47%26%4%
3/2425%42%31%2%
12/2317%42%37%4%
9/2318%43%34%5%
6/2325%42%30%3%
3/2323%40%35%2%
12/2225%37%35%3%
9/2219%40%35%6%
6/2220%30%49%1%
3/2228%28%40%4%
12/2141%36%17%6%
9/2149%32%12%7%
6/2158%22%15%5%
3/2165%18%15%2%
12/2042%20%36%2%
9/2053%30%14%3%
6/2057%21%15%7%
3/2043%9%39%9%
12/1931%42%14%13%
9/1921%57%13%9%
6/1922%50%20%8%
3/1928%43%22%7%
12/1823%45%24%8%
9/1824%58%7%11%
6/1837%31%29%3%
3/1842%37%16%5%
12/1732%43%21%4%
9/1723%49%22%6%
6/1730%41%24%5%
3/1732%40%25%3%
12/1624%41%22%13%
9/1638%42%12%8%
6/168%60%29%3%
3/1614%70%11%5%
12/1530%43%22%5%
9/1525%58%13%4%
6/15 34% 50% 15% 1%
3/15 22% 51% 22% 5%
12/14 32% 43% 17% 8%
9/14 26% 44% 13% 17%
6/14 23% 53% 17% 7%
3/14 26% 43% 24% 7%
12/13 23% 48% 22% 7%
9/13 24% 45% 19% 12%
6/13 33% 49% 17% 1%
3/13 32% 40% 21% 7%
12/12 35% 30% 28% 7%
9/12 32% 38% 13% 17%
6/12 27% 41% 14% 18%
3/12 35% 38% 16% 11%
12/11 34% 38% 22% 6%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 50% 32% 14% 4%
Voters 51% 30% 15% 4%
6/2430%34%26%10%
3/2433%30%29%8%
12/2327%28%37%8%
9/2334%28%31%7%
6/2334%36%27%3%
3/2327%39%31%3%
12/2230%32%30%8%
9/2226%34%26%14%
6/2224%42%30%4%
3/2236%28%32%4%
12/2147%23%20%10%
9/2145%21%24%10%
6/2158%11%25%6%
3/2168%9%19%4%
12/2049%14%32%5%
9/2065%18%13%4%
6/2062%19%15%4%
3/2041%34%16%9%
12/1926%44%17%13%
9/1927%47%20%6%
6/1922%44%27%7%
3/1927%36%29%8%
12/1826%36%29%9%
9/1833%41%17%9%
6/1844%21%29%6%
3/1850%28%19%3%
12/1733%36%25%6%
9/1729%35%27%9%
6/1732%31%29%8%
3/1735%27%30%8%
12/1627%38%24%11%
9/1649%27%14%10%
6/1627%37%25%11%
3/1636%49%10%5%
12/1532%38%18%12%
9/1525%40%21%14%
6/15 33% 42% 17% 8%
3/15 23% 40% 20% 17%
12/14 29% 41% 19% 11%
9/14 34% 34% 18% 14%
6/14 34% 34% 20% 12%
3/14 32% 33% 27% 8%
12/13 32% 36% 22% 10%
9/13 33% 35% 20% 12%
6/13 38% 34% 25% 3%
3/13 32% 37% 21% 10%
12/12 42% 27% 21% 10%
9/12 46% 20% 12% 22%
6/12 35% 27% 14% 24%
3/12 43% 28% 16% 13%
12/11 38% 35% 13% 14%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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