The latest surevy results for the 2024 New Hampshire Democratic primary are here. Pollster ratings for the 2024 Iowa Republican caucus are here.
New
Hampshire
Presidential
primary preference:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
12/20/23 |
1/3/24 |
1/15/24 |
1/20/24 |
|
| Christie |
13% |
10% |
ni |
ni |
| DeSantis |
6% |
5% |
4% |
6% |
| Haley |
29% |
33% |
40% |
44% |
| Hutchinson |
1% |
1% |
1% |
ni |
| Ramaswamy |
5% |
4% |
4% |
ni |
| Trump |
33% |
37% |
40% |
46% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
| Undecided |
12% |
9% |
9% |
2% |
| ni - Not Included |
Preference
by party registration:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans
(58%) |
Undeclared
(42%) |
|
|
|
| Christie |
ni |
ni |
| DeSantis |
5% |
7% |
| Haley |
34% |
57% |
| Hutchinson |
ni |
ni |
| Ramaswamy |
ni |
ni |
| Trump |
59% |
27% |
| Other |
- |
5% |
| Undecided |
2% |
4% |
Preference
by age:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
18
to 49 (42%) |
50 and
older (58%) |
|
|
|
| Christie |
ni |
ni |
| DeSantis |
4% |
7% |
| Haley |
46% |
42% |
| Hutchinson |
ni |
ni |
| Ramaswamy |
ni |
ni |
| Trump |
44% |
47% |
| Other |
2% |
2% |
| Undecided |
4% |
2% |
Preference by sex:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (54%) |
Female
(46%) |
|
|
|
| Christie |
ni |
ni |
| DeSantis |
3% |
9% |
| Haley |
49% |
37% |
| Hutchinson |
ni |
ni |
| Ramaswamy |
ni |
ni |
| Trump |
45% |
46% |
| Other |
1% |
3% |
| Undecided |
2% |
5% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Definite
- 10 (91%) |
Probably
- 7-9 (9%) |
|
|
|
| Christie |
ni |
ni |
| DeSantis |
6% |
4% |
| Haley |
44% |
40% |
| Hutchinson |
ni |
ni |
| Ramaswamy |
ni |
ni |
| Trump |
45% |
51% |
| Other |
2% |
3% |
| Undecided |
3% |
2% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting
surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New
Hampshire (350 Republicans and 250 undeclared voters (independents)).
Sample Dates: January 18-20, 2024
Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the
time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2024 Republican presidential preference
primary were being held today between (names rotated) Ron
DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Donald
Trump, for whom would you vote?
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you
will definitely not vote in the 2024 Republican presidential preference
primary coming up on January 23 and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2024
Republican presidential preference primary, what number would you give
as your chance of voting in the 2024 Republican presidential preference
primary?
|
