American Research Group, Inc.

The latest surevy results for the 2024 New Hampshire Democratic primary are here.

Pollster ratings for the 2024 Iowa Republican caucus are here.

New Hampshire

Presidential primary preference:

New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
12/20/23 1/3/24 1/15/24 1/20/24
Christie 13% 10% ni ni
DeSantis 6% 5% 4% 6%
Haley 29% 33% 40% 44%
Hutchinson 1% 1% 1% ni
Ramaswamy 5% 4% 4% ni
Trump 33% 37% 40% 46%
Other 1% 1% 2% 2%
Undecided 12% 9% 9% 2%
ni - Not Included

 

Preference by party registration:

New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Republicans (58%) Undeclared (42%)
Christie ni ni
DeSantis 5% 7%
Haley 34% 57%
Hutchinson ni ni
Ramaswamy ni ni
Trump 59% 27%
Other - 5%
Undecided 2% 4%

 

Preference by age:

New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
18 to 49 (42%) 50 and older (58%)
Christie ni ni
DeSantis 4% 7%
Haley 46% 42%
Hutchinson ni ni
Ramaswamy ni ni
Trump 44% 47%
Other 2% 2%
Undecided 4% 2%

 

Preference by sex:

New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Male (54%) Female (46%)
Christie ni ni
DeSantis 3% 9%
Haley 49% 37%
Hutchinson ni ni
Ramaswamy ni ni
Trump 45% 46%
Other 1% 3%
Undecided 2% 5%


Preference by likely to vote:

New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Definite - 10 (91%) Probably - 7-9 (9%)
Christie ni ni
DeSantis 6% 4%
Haley 44% 40%
Hutchinson ni ni
Ramaswamy ni ni
Trump 45% 51%
Other 2% 3%
Undecided 3% 2%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (350 Republicans and 250 undeclared voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: January 18-20, 2024

Margin of Error: 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2024 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2024 Republican presidential preference primary coming up on January 23 and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2024 Republican presidential preference primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2024 Republican presidential preference primary?

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