American Research Group, Inc.

The latest survey results for the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary are here.

Pollster ratings for the 2024 Iowa Republican caucus are here.


New Hampshire

Presidential primary preference:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters
12/20/23 1/3/24 1/9/24 1/15/24 1/20/24
Phillips 17% 21% 26% 28% 32%
Williamson 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Biden 51% 58% 58% 58% 54%
Other 3% 2% 2% 2% 4%
Undecided 23% 14% 10% 9% 7%

 

Preference by party registration:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters
Democrats (65%) Undeclared (35%)
Phillips 25% 45%
Williamson 2% 5%
Biden 67% 30%
Other 1% 9%
Undecided 5% 11%

 

Preference by age:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters
18 to 49 (42%) 50 and older (58%)
Phillips 40% 26%
Williamson 3% 3%
Biden 48% 58%
Other 5% 3%
Undecided 4% 10%

 

Preference by sex:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters
Male (41%) Female (59%)
Phillips 40% 26%
Williamson 1% 4%
Biden 49% 58%
Other 3% 4%
Undecided 7% 8%


Preference by likely to vote:

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters
Definite - 10 (92%) Probably - 7-9 (8%)
Phillips 32% 32%
Williamson 3% 4%
Biden 55% 45%
Other 3% 11%
Undecided 7% 8%

 



About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in New Hampshire (392 Democrats and 208 undeclared voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: January 18-20, 2024

Margin of Error: 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2024 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, and a write-in for Joe Biden, for whom would you vote?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2024 Democratic presidential preference primary coming up on January 23 and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2024 Democratic presidential preference primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2024 Democratic presidential preference primary?

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