American Research Group, Inc.

National Presidential Ballot

Interview dates: August 17-20, 2016

Sample size: 994 registered voters (350 Democrats, 306 Republicans, and 338 independents)

Margin of error:  3.2 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the election for president were being held today between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Clinton or Trump? (names rotated)

National Presidential Ballot
  Clinton Trump Other** Undecided
Registered voters 47% 42% 6% 5%
Democrats (35%) 90% 4% 2% 4%
Republicans (31%) 8% 81% 5% 6%
Independents (34%) 38% 47% 10% 5%
Men (49%) 38% 53% 5% 4%
Women (51%) 55% 32% 6% 6%
18 to 49 (52%) 48% 40% 7% 5%
50 and older (48%) 46% 45% 4% 5%
White (74%) 40% 47% 7% 6%
African American (13%) 94% 2% * 4%
July 17-20 43% 42% 6% 9%
June 17-20 50% 41% 3% 6%
May 17-20 46% 46% 2% 6%
* Less than 1/2 of 1%   **Volunteered

See methodology for sampling details.

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