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November 21, 2020

2020 Christmas Spending

 

Shoppers around the country say they are planning to spend an average of $851 for gifts this holiday season, down from $976 last year according to the 36th annual survey on holiday spending.

Details of the survey are available at 2020 Christmas Spending.

 


 

November 21, 2020

Trump Job Approvals and the National Economy

 

Trump Job Approval Ratings
11/20/20 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 41% 55% 4%
Economy 40% 55% 5%

 

A total of 41% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job and 55% disapprove. In October, 35% approved and 60% disapproved.

When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 40% of Americans approve and 55% disapprove. In October, 38% approved and 57% disapproved.

Among Americans registered to vote, 41% approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president and 55% disapprove. On Trump's handling of the economy, 41% of registered voters approve and 56% disapprove.

Also, 37% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling the coronavirus outbreak, 57% disapprove, and 6% are undecided.

 

Trump handling coronavirus outbreak
11/20/20 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 37% 57% 6%
Party:



Republicans 85% 11% 4%
Democrats 2% 93% 5%
Independents 33% 60% 7%
10/20/20 31% 61% 8%
9/20/20 33% 60% 7%
8/20/20 35% 60% 5%
7/20/20 35% 58% 7%
6/20/20 37% 58% 5%
5/20/20 41% 51% 8%
4/20/20 43% 47% 10%
3/19/20 41% 55% 4%

 

Details from the nationwide survey conducted November 17-20 are available at The National Economy.

 


 

November 20, 2020

2020 Presidential Pollster Ratings


2020 Presidential Pollster Ratings
Accuracy
National 0.094
Florida 0.113
Ohio 0.146
Wisconsin 0.148
Michigan 0.122
Iowa 0.166
Minnesota 0.050
North Carolina 0.069
Arizona 0.062
Pennsylvania 0.101
Maine 0.113
Georgia 0.054

As a reference: The average absolute accuracy for all polls in the 2016 presidential election was 0.070. The average absolute accuracy for all polls in the 2012 presidential election was 0.055. The average absolute accuracy for all polls in the 2008 presidential election was 0.037.

 


Conflicting 2020 polls? A 95% confidence level in the long run drops to 75% in the single case. A review of our pollster accuracy ratings confirm this overlooked result.

 


 

Why doesn't most advertising work? Take a look at 10 Rules for More Effective Advertising.

 

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