American Research Group, Inc.

National Presidential Ballot

Interview dates: May 17-20, 2016

Sample size: 980 registered voters

Margin of error:  3.2 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the election for president were being held today between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Clinton or Trump? (names rotated)

National Presidential Ballot
  Clinton Trump Other** Undecided
Registered voters 46% 46% 2% 6%
Democrats (34%) 84% 8% 1% 7%
Republicans (30%) 8% 85% 1% 6%
Independents (36%) 42% 50% 3% 5%
Men (49%) 38% 55% 1% 6%
Women (51%) 54% 38% 2% 6%
18 to 49 (53%) 49% 42% 1% 8%
50 and older (47%) 43% 51% 2% 4%
White (74%) 39% 55% 2% 4%
African American (13%) 88% 4% * 8%
* Less than 1/2 of 1%   **Volunteered

See methodology for sampling details.

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