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2013 Virginia Gubernatorial Election Pollster Ratings
The following table lists the accuracy of pollsters in the November 5, 2013 Virginia gubernatorial election
using the measure of polling accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
An accuracy measure of 0.00 indicates that the odds ratio of the survey results matches the odds ratio of the actual results (the closer to 0.00, the better).
| 2013 Virginia Gubernatorial Election |
|
McAuliffe |
Cuccinelli |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
|
Emerson College
Polling Society |
42% |
40% |
1.00 |
0.00 |
| Wenzel Strategies |
41% |
40% |
0.97 |
-0.03 |
| Quinnipiac |
46% |
40% |
1.09 |
0.09 |
| PPP |
50% |
43% |
1.10 |
0.10 |
| Hampton University |
42% |
36% |
1.11 |
0.10 |
| Christopher Newport |
45% |
38% |
1.12 |
0.12 |
| Rasmussen |
43% |
36% |
1.13 |
0.12 |
| ODU |
44% |
37% |
1.13 |
0.12 |
Washington Post/
Abt-SRBI |
51% |
39% |
1.24 |
0.21* |
| Zogby/Newsmax |
43% |
31% |
1.31 |
0.27* |
|
| Actual |
47.8% |
45.3% |
|
|
There are no differences between pollsters at the
95% confidence interval. * The accuracy measures for the Washington Post/Abt-SRBI survey and the Zogby/Newsmax survey fall outside the 95% confidence intervals.
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