|
2012 Georgia Republican
Presidential
Primary
Pollster
Ratings The following table
lists the
accuracy of pollsters in the March 6, 2012 Georgia
Republican
Presidential primary
using the measure
of polling accuracy
proposed
by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
An accuracy measure of 0.00 indicates
that the odds ratio of the survey results matches the odds ratio of the actual results (the
closer to 0.00, the better).
| 2012 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary
|
|
Gingrich |
Romney |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
|
| ARG |
44% |
24% |
1.01 |
0.01 |
| Landmark |
44% |
23% |
1.05 |
0.05 |
| PPP |
47% |
27% |
1.07 |
0.07 |
| CNN |
47% |
24% |
1.07 |
0.07 |
| SUSA |
39% |
23% |
0.93 |
-0.07 |
| Mason-Dixon |
38% |
24% |
0.87 |
-0.14 |
| Insider Advantage |
47% |
21% |
1.23 |
0.21 |
| Rasmussen |
37% |
27% |
0.75 |
-0.29* |
| YouGov |
36% |
32% |
0.62 |
-0.48* |
|
| Actual |
47.2% |
25.9% |
|
|
The accuracy
measures for the Landmark, PPP, CNN, and Insider Advantage
polls differ from the accuracy measure for the YouGov poll at the 95% confidence interval. *
The accuracy measures for
the Rasmussen and the YouGov polls fall outside the
95% confidence intervals.
|
