American Research Group, Inc.

South Carolina

Presidential primary preference:

South Carolina
Likely Republican Primary Voters Feb
12-13
Feb
14-16
Feb
16-17
Feb
17-18
Bush 10% 9% 8% 9%
Carson 2% 3% 3% 4%
Cruz 12% 14% 13% 13%
Kasich 15% 14% 15% 14%
Rubio 14% 16% 20% 22%
Trump 35% 33% 33% 34%
Other 2% 2% 1% 1%
Undecided 10% 8% 7% 3%
Read this table down

*= Less than 1/2 of 1%  - = None

 

Preference by self-reported party:

South Carolina
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Republicans (74%) Other (26%)
Bush 10% 7%
Carson 5% 2%
Cruz 15% 8%
Kasich 11% 24%
Rubio 24% 17%
Trump 33% 37%
Other * 1%
Undecided 2% 4%

 

Preference by age:

South Carolina
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
18 to 49 (40%) 50 and older (60%)
Bush 5% 12%
Carson 5% 4%
Cruz 12% 14%
Kasich 17% 13%
Rubio 21% 23%
Trump 36% 33%
Other 1% *
Undecided 3% 2%

 

Preference by sex:

South Carolina
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Male (52%) Female (48%)
Bush 8% 11%
Carson 4% 4%
Cruz 10% 17%
Kasich 14% 15%
Rubio 21% 23%
Trump 39% 29%
Other * 1%
Undecided 4% 3%




About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 401 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (297 self-reported Republicans and 104 self-reported independents and Democrats.

Sample Dates: February 17-18, 2016

Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were being held today between (names rotated) Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2016 Republican presidential primary?

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