New
Hampshire
Presidential
primary preference:
| New
Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb
2-3 |
Feb
3-4 |
Feb
4-5 |
Feb
5-6 |
Feb
6-7 |
Feb
7-8 |
|
| Bush |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Carson |
2% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Christie |
6% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
8% |
| Cruz |
12% |
12% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
| Fiorina |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
13% |
14% |
17% |
17% |
16% |
17% |
| Rubio |
14% |
15% |
16% |
17% |
16% |
14% |
| Trump |
34% |
36% |
34% |
31% |
30% |
33% |
| Other |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
| Unecided |
7% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
|
Read
this table down
*= Less than 1/2 of 1% - = None ni = Not included
|
| New
Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Dec
2015 |
Jan
7-10 |
Jan
15-18 |
Jan
23-25 |
Jan
29-31 |
|
| Bush |
7% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
| Carson |
6% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
| Christie |
12% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
6% |
| Cruz |
10% |
9% |
9% |
12% |
10% |
| Fiorina |
5% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
* |
1% |
1% |
1% |
- |
| Kasich |
13% |
14% |
20% |
17% |
16% |
| Pataki |
* |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Paul |
4% |
4% |
5% |
2% |
2% |
| Rubio |
15% |
14% |
10% |
9% |
11% |
| Santorum |
* |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Trump |
21% |
25% |
27% |
31% |
34% |
| Other |
* |
* |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
8% |
7% |
6% |
6% |
|
Read
this table down
*= Less than 1/2 of 1% - = None ni = Not included
|
Preference
by party registration:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans
(59%) |
Undeclared
(41%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
12% |
7% |
| Carson |
1% |
2% |
| Christie |
9% |
6% |
| Cruz |
10 |
10% |
| Fiorina |
4% |
3% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
15% |
20% |
| Rubio |
13% |
16% |
| Trump |
32% |
34% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
6% |
Preference
by age:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
18
to 49 (39%) |
50 and
older (61%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
7% |
11% |
| Carson |
2% |
1% |
| Christie |
7% |
8% |
| Cruz |
12% |
8% |
| Fiorina |
3% |
3% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
15% |
18% |
| Rubio |
15% |
13% |
| Trump |
36% |
31% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
6% |
Preference by sex:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (55%) |
Female
(45%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
8% |
11% |
| Carson |
1% |
1% |
| Christie |
8% |
8% |
| Cruz |
12% |
7% |
| Fiorina |
2% |
5% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
16% |
18% |
| Rubio |
14% |
14% |
| Trump |
36% |
30% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
6% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Definite
- 10 (91%) |
Probably
- 7-9 (9%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
9% |
14% |
| Carson |
1% |
3% |
| Christie |
8% |
3% |
| Cruz |
10% |
5% |
| Fiorina |
3% |
4% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
17% |
20% |
| Rubio |
14% |
16% |
| Trump |
33% |
31% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
4% |
Preference by type of contact:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Landline
(61%) |
Cell
phone/other (39%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
10% |
9% |
| Carson |
2% |
1% |
| Christie |
8% |
8% |
| Cruz |
10% |
10% |
| Fiorina |
3% |
3% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Kasich |
17% |
17% |
| Rubio |
14% |
14% |
| Trump |
32% |
35% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
7% |
5% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting
surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 418 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New
Hampshire (248 Republicans and 170 undeclared voters (independents)).
Sample Dates: February 7-8, 2016
Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the
time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2016 Republican presidential preference
primary were being held today between (names rotated) Jeb Bush, Ben
Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim
Gilmore, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and
Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you
will definitely not vote in the 2016 Republican presidential preference
primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016
Republican presidential preference primary, what number would you give
as your chance of voting in the 2016 Republican presidential preference
primary?
|
