Iowa
Presidential caucus preference:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
Jan 6-10 |
Jan 21-24 |
|
| Bush |
3% |
3% |
| Carson |
8% |
7% |
| Christie |
6% |
4% |
| Cruz |
25% |
26% |
| Fiorina |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
2% |
2% |
| Kasich |
3% |
3% |
| Paul |
4% |
4% |
| Rubio |
10% |
11% |
| Santorum |
2% |
1% |
| Trump |
29% |
33% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
5% |
|
Read
this table down
*= Less than 1/2 of 1% - = None
|
|
Preference
by party registration:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
Republicans
(80%) |
No party
(20%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
4% |
2% |
| Carson |
7% |
5% |
| Christie |
4% |
5% |
| Cruz |
26% |
24% |
| Fiorina |
1% |
2% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
2% |
| Kasich |
3% |
3% |
| Paul |
3% |
7% |
| Rubio |
11% |
11% |
| Santorum |
1% |
- |
| Trump |
33% |
33% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
5% |
Preference
by age:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
18
to 49 (44%) |
50 and
older (56%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
3% |
5% |
| Carson |
6% |
7% |
| Christie |
3% |
5% |
| Cruz |
27% |
25% |
| Fiorina |
2% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
| Kasich |
3% |
3% |
| Paul |
5% |
3% |
| Rubio |
9% |
12% |
| Santorum |
1% |
1% |
| Trump |
34% |
32% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
4% |
Preference by sex:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
Male (55%) |
Female
(45%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
3% |
5% |
| Carson |
7% |
6% |
| Christie |
3% |
5% |
| Cruz |
27% |
24% |
| Fiorina |
1% |
2% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
| Kasich |
3% |
4% |
| Paul |
5% |
3% |
| Rubio |
10% |
11% |
| Santorum |
1% |
1% |
| Trump |
34% |
31% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
5% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
Definite
- 10 (87%) |
Probably
- 7-9 (13%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
4% |
4% |
| Carson |
7% |
5% |
| Christie |
5% |
5% |
| Cruz |
27% |
16% |
| Fiorina |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
| Kasich |
3% |
3% |
| Paul |
4% |
4% |
| Rubio |
11% |
12% |
| Santorum |
1% |
1% |
| Trump |
32% |
40% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
7% |
Preference by type of contact:
| Iowa |
Likely Republican
Caucus-Goers |
Landline
(63%) |
Cell
phone/other (37%) |
|
|
|
| Bush |
4% |
3% |
| Carson |
7% |
7% |
| Christie |
5% |
5% |
| Cruz |
26% |
25% |
| Fiorina |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
| Kasich |
3% |
3% |
| Paul |
3% |
5% |
| Rubio |
12% |
10% |
| Santorum |
1% |
* |
| Trump |
32% |
34% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
5% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting
surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of likely Republican caucus-goers living in Iowa (321 Republicans and 79 no party voters (independents)).
Sample Dates: January 21-24, 2016
Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the
time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2016 Republican presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Jeb Bush, Ben
Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike
Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick
Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you
will definitely not vote in the 2016 Republican presidential
caucus and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016
Republican presidential caucus, what number would you give
as your chance of voting in the 2016 Republican presidential caucus?
|
