Iowa
Presidential caucus preference:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
Jan 6-10 |
Jan 21-24 |
|
| Clinton |
44% |
45% |
| O'Malley |
3% |
3% |
| Sanders |
47% |
48% |
| Other |
* |
* |
| Undecided |
5% |
4% |
|
*= Less than 1/2 of 1%
|
|
Preference
by party registration:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
Democrats
(86%) |
No party
(14%) |
|
|
|
| Clinton |
47% |
36% |
| O'Malley |
3% |
2% |
| Sanders |
47% |
55% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
6% |
Preference
by age:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
18
to 49 (44%) |
50 and
older (56%) |
|
|
|
| Clinton |
38% |
51% |
| O'Malley |
3% |
3% |
| Sanders |
55% |
42% |
| Other |
1% |
* |
| Undecided |
3% |
4% |
Preference by sex:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
Male (45%) |
Female
(55%) |
|
|
|
| Clinton |
38% |
51% |
| O'Malley |
2% |
3% |
| Sanders |
56% |
41% |
| Other |
1% |
- |
| Undecided |
3% |
5% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
Definite
- 10 (83%) |
Probably
- 7-9 (17%) |
|
|
|
| Clinton |
48% |
33% |
| O'Malley |
3% |
3% |
| Sanders |
46% |
55% |
| Other |
* |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
8% |
Preference by type of contact:
| Iowa |
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers |
Landline
(62%) |
Cell
phone/other (38%) |
|
|
|
| Clinton |
49% |
38% |
| O'Malley |
3% |
3% |
| Sanders |
45% |
53% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
5% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting
surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus-goers living in Iowa (345 Democrats and 55 no party voters (independents)).
Sample Dates: January 21-24, 2016
Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the
time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton,
Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote?
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you
will definitely not vote in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016
Democratic presidential caucus, what number would you give
as your chance of voting in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus?
|
