American Research Group, Inc.

Iowa

Presidential caucus preference:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
Jan 6-10 Jan 21-24
Clinton 44% 45%
O'Malley 3% 3%
Sanders 47% 48%
Other * *
Undecided 5% 4%
*= Less than 1/2 of 1%

 

Preference by party registration:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
Democrats (86%) No party (14%)
Clinton 47% 36%
O'Malley 3% 2%
Sanders 47% 55%
Other - 1%
Undecided 3% 6%

 

Preference by age:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
18 to 49 (44%) 50 and older (56%)
Clinton 38% 51%
O'Malley 3% 3%
Sanders 55% 42%
Other 1% *
Undecided 3% 4%

 

Preference by sex:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
Male (45%) Female (55%)
Clinton 38% 51%
O'Malley 2% 3%
Sanders 56% 41%
Other 1% -
Undecided 3% 5%


Preference by likely to vote:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
Definite - 10 (83%) Probably - 7-9 (17%)
Clinton 48% 33%
O'Malley 3% 3%
Sanders 46% 55%
Other * 1%
Undecided 3% 8%

 

Preference by type of contact:

Iowa
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goers
Landline (62%) Cell phone/other (38%)
Clinton 49% 38%
O'Malley 3% 3%
Sanders 45% 53%
Other - 1%
Undecided 3% 5%

 



About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus-goers living in Iowa (345 Democrats and 55 no party voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: January 21-24, 2016

Margin of Error: 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus?

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