American Research Group, Inc.

Oklahoma

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Oklahoma
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Mar 1-2
2012
Gingrich 22%
Paul 9%
Romney 26%
Santorum 37%
Other 1%
Undecided 5%

 

Rick Santorum leads with 37% in the Oklahoma Republican presidential primary. Santorum is followed by Mitt Romney with 26%, Newt Gingrich with 22%, and Ron Paul with 9%.

Santorum leads Romney 37% to 25% among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the March 6 primary.

Santorum leads with 36% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Gingrich with 31%, Romney with 23%, and Paul with 5%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Santorum leads with 38%, followed by Romney with 30%, Paul with 14%, and Gingrich with 11%.

Santorum leads with 37% among men, followed by Romney and Gingrich with 22% each and Paul with 15%. Santorum leads with 37% among women, followed by Romney with 30%, Gingrich with 22%, and Paul with 3%.

 

Comparisons to past surveys:

Oklahoma
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Feb 6-7
2012
Mar 1-2
2012
Gingrich 34% 22%
Paul 10% 9%
Romney 31% 26%
Santorum 16% 37%
Other 2% 1%
Undecided 7% 5%

 

Preference by likely to vote:

Oklahoma
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Definitely - 10 (94%) Probably - 7-9 (6%)
Gingrich 23% 6%
Paul 9% 8%
Romney 25% 42%
Santorum 37% 36%
Other 1% 3%
Undecided 5% 5%

 

Preference by Tea Party support:

Oklahoma
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Supporter (54%) Not/Undecided (46%)
Gingrich 31% 11%
Paul 5% 14%
Romney 23% 30%
Santorum 36% 38%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 4% 6%

 

Preference by Sex:

Oklahoma
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Male (50%) Female (50%)
Gingrich 22% 22%
Paul 15% 3%
Romney 22% 30%
Santorum 37% 37%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 3% 7%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Oklahoma (600 registered Republicans). Early voting began March 2 and was not included separately in the likely voter screen.

Sample Dates: March 1-2, 2012

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2 of 1 percent.

Question Wording:

If the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican presidential primary?

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