American Research Group, Inc.

Ohio

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Ohio
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Mar 3-4
2012
Gingrich 18%
Paul 13%
Romney 35%
Santorum 28%
Other 1%
Undecided 5%

 

Mitt Romney leads the Ohio Republican presidential primary with 35%. Romney is followed by Rick Santorum with 28%, Newt Gingrich with 18%, and Ron Paul with 13%.

Romney leads Santorum 36% to 29% among Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 18% and Paul with 11%. Among independents, Romney leads with 33%, followed by Santorum with 25%, Paul with 20%, and Gingrich with 17%.

Santorum leads with 37% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 33%, Gingrich with 17%, and Paul with 10%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 38%, followed by Santorum and Gingrich with 19% each, and Paul with 16%.

Romney leads Santorum 32% to 27% among men, followed by Gingrich with 21% and Paul with 17%. Romney leads Santorum 39% to 30% among women, followed by Gingrich with 14% and Paul with 8%.

 

Preference by party:

Ohio
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Republicans (80%) Independents (20%)
Gingrich 18% 17%
Paul 11% 20%
Romney 36% 33%
Santorum 29% 25%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 5% 4%

 

Preference by Tea Party support:

Ohio
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Supporter (51%) Not/Undecided (49%)
Gingrich 17% 19%
Paul 10% 16%
Romney 33% 38%
Santorum 37% 19%
Other - 2%
Undecided 3% 6%

 

Preference by Sex:

Ohio
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Male (52%) Female (48%)
Gingrich 21% 14%
Paul 17% 8%
Romney 32% 39%
Santorum 27% 30%
Other 1% 1%
Undecided 2% 8%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Ohio (478 self-identified Republicans and 122 self-identified independents).

Sample Dates: March 3-4, 2012

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2 of 1 percent.

Question Wording:

If the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican presidential primary?

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