New Hampshire
Presidential Primary Preference:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Jan 8-9
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
10% |
| Huntsman |
18% |
| Paul |
17% |
| Perry |
1% |
| Romney |
37% |
| Santorum |
11% |
| Other |
2% |
| Undecided |
4% |
Mitt Romney leads the final American Research Group 2012 New Hampshire
Republican Presidential Preference Primary survey with 37%.
Jon Huntsman is in second place with 18%. Huntsman is followed closely by Ron Paul with
17%. Rick Santorum is in fourth place with 11% and Santorum is followed closely by Newt Gingrich
with 10%. Romney leads among registered
Republicans with
46%, followed by Paul with 15%, Huntsman with 13%, and
Gingrich
and Santorum with 10% each. Huntsman and Romney lead among
undeclared voters (independents) with 25% each, followed
by Paul with 20%, Santorum with 13%, and Gingrich with 10%. Romney
leads
among Tea Party supporters with
29%, followed by Paul with 22%, Gingrich with 19%, and Santorum
with 18%. Among those likely Republican primary voters saying
they are not Tea Party supporters or that they are undecided
about the Tea Party, Romney leads
with 40%, followed by Huntsman with 25%, and Paul with 15%.
Romney leads among men with 31%, followed with
Paul at 20%, Huntsman with 19%, Gingrich with 12%, and Santorum with 11%. Romney leads among
women with 43%, followed by Huntsman with 17%, Paul with 14%, and Santorum with 12%.
Comparison to Past Surveys:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Apr
2011 |
Jul
2011 |
Sep
2011 |
Nov
2011 |
Dec 11-14
2011 |
Jan 6-7
2012 |
Jan 8-9
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bachmann |
1% |
12% |
7% |
2% |
4% |
ni |
ni |
| Barbour |
- |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Cain |
2% |
4% |
4% |
9% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Daniels |
1% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Gingrich |
8% |
7% |
4% |
22% |
16% |
8% |
10% |
| Giuliani |
8% |
9% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Huckabee |
8% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Huntsman |
- |
- |
10% |
8% |
13% |
17% |
18% |
| Johnson |
1% |
* |
- |
1% |
- |
ni |
ni |
| Karger |
- |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Palin |
2% |
8% |
4% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Pataki |
- |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Rand Paul |
2% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Ron Paul |
8% |
4% |
12% |
12% |
21% |
16% |
17% |
| Pawlenty |
2% |
5% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Perry |
ni |
2% |
13% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
| Roemer |
- |
- |
1% |
1% |
* |
ni |
ni |
| Romney |
32% |
29% |
30% |
33% |
35% |
40% |
37% |
| Santorum |
- |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
12% |
11% |
| Trump |
17% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
| Other/Undecided |
8% |
18% |
13% |
9% |
8% |
6% |
6% |
Preference
by party:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans (56%) |
Independents (44%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
10% |
10% |
| Huntsman |
13% |
25% |
| Paul |
15% |
20% |
| Perry |
1% |
1% |
| Romney |
46% |
25% |
| Santorum |
10% |
13% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
5% |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (32%) |
Not/Undecided (68%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
19% |
6% |
| Huntsman |
5% |
25% |
| Paul |
22% |
15% |
| Perry |
2% |
1% |
| Romney |
29% |
40% |
| Santorum |
18% |
8% |
| Other |
1% |
2% |
| Undecided |
4% |
3% |
Preference by Sex:
| New Hampshire |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (53%) |
Female (47%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
12% |
8% |
| Huntsman |
19% |
17% |
| Paul |
20% |
14% |
| Perry |
1% |
1% |
| Romney |
31% |
43% |
| Santorum |
11% |
12% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
4% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (334 Republicans and 266
undeclared voters (independents)). An "*" in the
tables indicates responses of less than 1/2 of 1 percent. Sample
Dates: January 8-9, 2012 Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated)
Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron
Paul,
Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential preference primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
preference primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential preference primary?
|
