American Research Group, Inc.

Mississippi

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Mar 10-11
2012
Gingrich 32%
Paul 8%
Romney 34%
Santorum 22%
Other 1%
Undecided 3%

 

Mitt Romney leads the Mississippi Republican presidential primary with 34%. Romney is followed by Newt Gingrich with 32%, Rick Santorum with 22%, and Ron Paul with 8%.

In a similar survey conducted March 7-8, 2012, Gingrich was leading Romney 35% to 31%.

Romney leads Gingrich 36% to 33% among self-identified Republicans, followed by Santorum with 23% and Paul with 5%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Gingrich and Romney lead with 25% each, followed by Paul with 24% and Santorum with 18%.

Gingrich and Romney are tied at 33% each among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the March 6 primary, followed by Santorum with 23% and Paul with 8%. Romney leads Gingrich 46% to 15% among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Paul and Santorum with 13% each.

Gingrich leads with 38% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 23%, Santorum with 21%, and Paul with 8%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 46%, followed by Santorum with 23%, Gingrich with 16%, and Paul with 9%.

Gingrich leads among men with 38%, followed by Romney with 26%, Santorum with 20%, and Paul with 14%. Romney leads Santorum 43% to 25% among women, followed by Gingrich with 24% and Paul with 2%.

 

Comparisons to past surveys:

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Mar 7-8
2012
Mar 10-11
2012
Gingrich 35% 32%
Paul 7% 8%
Romney 31% 34%
Santorum 20% 22%
Other * 1%
Undecided 7% 3%

 

Preference by party:

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Republicans (82%) Independents (18%)
Gingrich 33% 25%
Paul 5% 24%
Romney 36% 25%
Santorum 23% 18%
Other - 3%
Undecided 3% 5%

 

Preference by likely to vote:

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Definitely - 10 (92%) Probably - 7-9 (8%)
Gingrich 33% 15%
Paul 8% 13%
Romney 33% 46%
Santorum 23% 13%
Other - 6%
Undecided 3% 7%

 

Preference by Tea Party support:

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Supporter (53%) Not/Undecided (47%)
Gingrich 45% 16%
Paul 8% 9%
Romney 23% 46%
Santorum 21% 23%
Other - 1%
Undecided 3% 5%

 

Preference by Sex:

Mississippi
Likely Republican
Primary Voters
Male (54%) Female (46%)
Gingrich 38% 24%
Paul 14% 2%
Romney 26% 43%
Santorum 20% 25%
Other - 1%
Undecided 2% 5%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Mississippi (490 self-identified Republicans, 78 self-identified independents, and 32 self-identified Democrats).

Sample Dates: March 10-11, 2012

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2 of 1 percent.

Question Wording:

If the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not?

Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican presidential primary?

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