Michigan
Presidential Primary Preference:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb 25-26
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
8% |
| Paul |
15% |
| Romney |
35% |
| Santorum |
36% |
| Other/Uncommitted |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
Rick Santorum holds a slight lead heading into
the Michigan
Republican
presidential primary. Santorum leads with 36% and is followed
by Mitt
Romney with 35%, Ron Paul with 15%, and Newt Gingrich
with 8%.
Santorum has lost 2 percentage points since
a similar survey conducted February 21-22, 2012, while Romney
has
gained 1 percentage point. Romney now leads Santorum
38% to 37% among self-identified
Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 11% and Paul with 9%.
Among self-identified independents
and Democrats, Santorum leads with 34%, followed by Romney
with
30%, Paul with 25%, and Gingrich
with 3%.
Santorum leads Romney 36% to 35% among likely
Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote
in the February 28 primary, followed by Paul with 16% and Gingrich
with 7%. Romney and Santorum are tied at 35% each among those
saying they will probably
vote, followed by Gingrich with 14% and Paul with 9%. Santorum
leads
with 42% among
likely Republican
primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party,
followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich
with 13%, and Paul with 11%. Among likely primary voters
saying they are
not supporters of the Tea Party
or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 40%,
followed by Santorum with 32%, Paul
with 17%, and Gingrich with 5%.
Santorum leads Romney 38% to 31% among
men,
followed
by Paul with 18% and Gingrich with 9%. Romney leads Santorum
40%
to 33% among women, followed by Paul with 11% and Gingrich
with 7%.
Comparisons to past surveys:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb 11-12
2012 |
Feb
15-16
2012 |
Feb
21-22
2012 |
Feb
25-26
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
21% |
10% |
7% |
8% |
| Paul |
12% |
15% |
12% |
15% |
| Romney |
27% |
32% |
34% |
35% |
| Santorum |
33% |
37% |
38% |
36% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
1% |
* |
| Undecided |
6% |
5% |
8% |
6% |
Preference
by party:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans (63%) |
Independents (37%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
11% |
3% |
| Paul |
9% |
25% |
| Romney |
38% |
30% |
| Santorum |
37% |
34% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
7% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Definitely - 10 (85%) |
Probably - 7-9 (15%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
7% |
14% |
| Paul |
16% |
9% |
| Romney |
35% |
35% |
| Santorum |
36% |
35% |
| Other |
- |
2% |
| Undecided |
6% |
5% |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (36%) |
Not/Undecided (64%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
13% |
5% |
| Paul |
11% |
17% |
| Romney |
27% |
40% |
| Santorum |
42% |
32% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
7% |
5% |
Preference by sex:
| Michigan |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (54%) |
Female (46%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
9% |
7% |
| Paul |
18% |
11% |
| Romney |
31% |
40% |
| Santorum |
38% |
33% |
| Other |
1% |
- |
| Undecided |
3% |
9% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in Michigan (377 self-identified Republicans,
163 self-identified independents, and 60 self-identified Democrats). Sample
Dates: February 25-26, 2012 Margin of Error: ±
4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2
of 1 percent. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron
Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential primary?
|
