Illinois
Presidential Primary Preference:
| Illinois |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Mar 17-18
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
13% |
| Paul |
8% |
| Romney |
44% |
| Santorum |
30% |
| Other |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
Mitt Romney leads the Illinois Republican
presidential primary with 44%. Romney is followed by Rick Santorum
with 30%, Newt Gingrich with 13%, and Ron Paul with 8%.
Romney leads Santorum 45% to 35% among self-identified
Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 12% and Paul with 4%.
Among self-identified independents
and Democrats, Romney leads with 42%, followed by Paul
with
20%, Gingrich with 17%, and Santorum
with 16%.
Romney leads Santorum 51% to 36% among likely
Republican primary voters saying they have voted in early voting
or by absentee ballot. Romney
leads Santorum 43% to 30% among those saying they will
vote on March 20, followed by Gingrich with 15% and Paul with
8%. Romney
leads
with 41% among
likely Republican
primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party,
followed by Santorum with 35%, Gingrich with 21%, and Paul
with 2%. Among likely primary voters saying they are
not supporters of the Tea Party
or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 47%,
followed by Santorum with 27%, Paul
with 12%, and Gingrich with 7%.
Romney leads among men with 43%, followed
by Santorum with 32%, Gingrich with 14%, and Paul with 8%.
Romney
leads Santorum 46%
to 29% among women, followed by Gingrich with 12% and Paul
with 8%.
Preference
by party:
| Illinois |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans (76%) |
Independents (24%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
12% |
17% |
| Paul |
4% |
20% |
| Romney |
45% |
42% |
| Santorum |
35% |
16% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
4% |
Preference
by early vote:
| Illinois |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Early vote (13%) |
Will vote (87%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
4% |
15% |
| Paul |
9% |
8% |
| Romney |
51% |
43% |
| Santorum |
36% |
30% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
- |
3% |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| Illinois |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (43%) |
Not/Undecided (57%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
21% |
7% |
| Paul |
2% |
12% |
| Romney |
41% |
47% |
| Santorum |
35% |
27% |
| Other |
- |
2% |
| Undecided |
1% |
5% |
Preference by Sex:
| Illinois |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (53%) |
Female (47%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
14% |
12% |
| Paul |
8% |
8% |
| Romney |
43% |
46% |
| Santorum |
32% |
29% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
2% |
4% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in Illinois (457 self-identified Republicans,
110 self-identified independents, and 33 self-identified Democrats). Sample
Dates: March 17-18, 2012 Margin of Error: ±
4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2
of 1 percent. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron
Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential primary?
|
