Arizona
Presidential Primary Preference:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb 23-24
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
11% |
| Paul |
9% |
| Romney |
39% |
| Santorum |
35% |
| Other |
1% |
| Undecided |
5% |
Mitt Romney leads in the
Arizona Republican presidential primary with 39%. Romney is
followed by Rick Santorum with 35%, Newt Gingrich with 11%, and Ron Paul with 9%.
In a similar survey conducted February 13-14,
2012, Romney was leading with 38%, followed by Santorum with
31%, Gingrich with
15%, and Paul with 11%. Support for Santorum has increased
4 percentage points since the last survey and support for Romney has increased 1 percentage
point. Romney leads Santorum 50% to 29% among likely
Republican primary voters saying they have already voted through
early voting. Santorum leads Romney 41% to 29% among likely Republican primary voters saying
they will vote on February 28. Santorum leads
with 44% among
likely Republican
primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party,
followed by Romney with 34%, Gingrich with 18%, and Paul
with 1%. Among likely primary voters saying they are
not supporters of the Tea Party
or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 44%,
followed by Santorum with 25%, Paul with 18%, and Gingrich
with
3%.
Santorum leads Romney 43% to 32% among men,
followed
by Gingrich with 13% and Paul with 10%. Romney leads Santorum
47% to 26% among women, followed by Gingrich
with 9% and Paul with 8%.
Comparisons to past surveys:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Jan 25-26
2012 |
Feb
13-14
2012 |
Feb
23-24
2012 |
|
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
32% |
15% |
11% |
| Paul |
12% |
11% |
9% |
| Romney |
32% |
38% |
39% |
| Santorum |
10% |
31% |
35% |
| Other |
2% |
* |
1% |
| Undecided |
12% |
5% |
5% |
Preference
by early vote:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Definitely/Probably (52%) |
Have voted (48%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
9% |
13% |
| Paul |
10% |
8% |
| Romney |
29% |
50% |
| Santorum |
41% |
29% |
| Other |
2% |
- |
| Undecided |
9% |
- |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (52%) |
Not/Undecided (48%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
18% |
3% |
| Paul |
1% |
18% |
| Romney |
34% |
44% |
| Santorum |
44% |
25% |
| Other |
- |
2% |
| Undecided |
3% |
8% |
Preference by sex:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (54%) |
Female (46%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
13% |
9% |
| Paul |
10% |
8% |
| Romney |
32% |
47% |
| Santorum |
43% |
26% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
1% |
9% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in Arizona (600 registered Republicans). Sample
Dates: February 23-24, 2012 Margin of Error: ±
4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2
of 1 percent. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron
Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential primary?
|
