American Research Group, Inc.

New Hampshire

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

New Hampshire
Likely Republican Primary Voters Nov 26-29 Dec 16-19 Dec 27-29 Jan 1-3 Jan 4-5 Jan 5-6 Jan 6-7
Giuliani 22% 16% 9% 8% 7% 10% 13%
Huckabee 13% 11% 11% 12% 14% 12% 14%
Hunter - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Keyes - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
McCain 11% 26% 30% 35% 39% 35% 31%
Paul 2% 4% 7% 9% 6% 7% 9%
Romney 36% 26% 30% 25% 25% 27% 24%
Tancredo 1% 1% ni ni ni ni ni
Thompson 3% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Undecided 12% 10% 8% 8% 6% 4% 5%

 

 

New Hampshire
Likely Republican Primary Voters Dec 06 Jan 07 Feb 07 Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07 Oct 07
Brownback - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% ni
Gilmore 1% - 1% - - - - ni ni ni ni
Gingrich 14% 11% 10% 11% 4% 4% 4% 6% 4% 6% ni
Giuliani 25% 20% 27% 19% 17% 21% 19% 27% 23% 20% 23%
Hagel 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% - ni ni ni ni
Huckabee 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 9% 3% 7%
Hunter - - 1% - - - 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Keyes ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni 1% -
McCain 29% 27% 26% 23% 29% 30% 21% 10% 12% 20% 17%
Pataki 2% - - - - - - ni ni ni ni
Paul ni - - - - - 1% 1% 3% 3% 1%
Romney 9% 20% 15% 17% 24% 23% 27% 26% 27% 24% 30%
Tancredo ni 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1%
F Thompson ni ni ni 10% 7% 3% 10% 13% 8% 8% 5%
T Thompson - - - - 1% 1% - - ni ni ni
Undecided 17% 15% 17% 15% 14% 16% 14% 13% 13% 12% 15%

 

Preference by party:

 

New Hampshire
Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (73%) Independents (27%)
Giuliani 14% 12%
Huckabee 12% 19%
Hunter 3% -
Keyes 1% -
McCain 30% 34%
Paul 10% 8%
Romney 25% 21%
Thompson 1% -
Undecided 4% 6%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (440 Republicans and 1604 undeclared (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: January 6-7, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?

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