Michigan
Presidential Caucus Preference:
Michigan |
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters |
Jan
2007 |
Feb 2007 |
May 2007 |
Sep 2007 |
Jan 9-11 |
Jan 12-14 |
|
Biden |
2% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
ni |
ni |
Clark |
2% |
1% |
- |
ni |
ni |
ni |
Clinton |
30% |
35% |
38% |
43% |
57% |
56% |
Dodd |
1% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
ni |
ni |
Edwards |
17% |
14% |
14% |
14% |
ni |
ni |
Gravel |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1% |
Kerry |
1% |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
Kucinich |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
Obama |
30% |
30% |
25% |
21% |
ni |
ni |
Richardson |
- |
1% |
2% |
5% |
ni |
ni |
Vilsack |
- |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
Uncommitted |
ni |
ni |
ni |
ni |
28% |
31% |
Undecided |
14% |
15% |
14% |
12% |
12% |
9% |
Please note that the official Michigan ballot
only includes Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Uncommitted, and a
write-in line. Write-in candidates, however, must agree to be a write-in candidate for their
votes to count. John Edwards and Barack Obama have not agreed to be write-in candidates. Preference by party:
Michigan |
Likely Democratic
Primary Voters |
Democrats (81%) |
Independents (19%) |
|
Clinton |
56% |
58% |
Gravel |
1% |
- |
Kucinich |
1% |
9% |
Uncommitted |
33% |
24% |
Undecided |
9% |
9% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Democratic primary voters living in Michigan (484 Democrats and 116
independent voters). Sample
Dates: January 12-14, 2008 Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. Question Wording:
If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary
were
being held today between (names rotated)
Hillary Clinton, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, and an uncommitted
line on the ballot,
for
whom would you vote?
Would you say that you definitely plan to vote
in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, that you might
vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, or that you
will probably not vote in the 2008
Democratic
presidential primary?
|