American Research Group, Inc.

Arizona

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Arizona
Likely Republican Primary Voters Feb 2007 Jul 2007 Oct 2007
Brownback 3% - 3%
Gilmore - ni ni
Gingrich 11% 7% ni
Giuliani 21% 23% 19%
Hagel - ni ni
Huckabee - - 1%
Hunter 1% 1% -
Keyes ni ni -
McCain 45% 32% 26%
Pataki - ni ni
Paul - 1% 5%
Romney 2% 7% 18%
Tancredo - 1% 1%
F Thompson ni 15% 15%
T Thompson - - ni
Undecided 18% 13% 12%

 

Preference by party:

 

Arizona
Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (88%) Independents (12%)
Brownback 3% -
Giuliani 20% 10%
Huckabee 1% -
Hunter - -
Keyes - -
McCain 25% 31%
Paul 5% 1%
Romney 18% 15%
Tancredo 1% -
Thompson 13% 28%
Undecided 14% 15%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Arizona (527 Republicans and 73 independent voters).

Sample Dates: October 5-9, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Sam Brownback, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?

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