American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

March 17, 2014

2014 US Senate Ballots

The following results are based on 533 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire (168 Republicans, 160 Democrats, and 205 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted March 13 through 16, 2014.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 533 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2014 election for US Senate were being held today between Scott Brown, the Republican, and Jeanne Shaheen, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Brown or Shaheen? (names rotated)

2014 US Senate Brown Shaheen Undecided
All voters 38% 50% 12%
Republicans (32%) 75% 13% 12%
Democrats (30%) 4% 90% 6%
Undeclared (38%) 34% 49% 17%
Male (48%) 49% 44% 7%
Female (52%) 28% 55% 17%
18-44 (42%) 41% 51% 8%
45 and older (58%) 36% 49% 15%
Landline (76%) 39% 49% 12%
Other (24%) 35% 52% 13%
12/2013 38% 48% 14%

Of the 34% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, Shaheen leads Brown 90% to 4%, with 65% undecided.

Of the 57% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, Brown leads Shaheen 63% to 22%, with 15% undecided.

Of the 9% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying the are undecided about the job Obama is doing, Shaheen leads Brown 73% to 7%, with 20% undecided.

While the overall ballot results are relatively unchanged from the December 2013 New Hampshire Poll:

  • Brown is doing better among Republicans.
  • Shaheen is doing better among undeclared voters (independents). (In 2008, Shaheen captured 60% of undeclared voters.)
  • Brown is doing better among men.
  • Shaheen is doing better among women.

 

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