American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

June 19, 2014

2014 US Senate Ballots

The following results are based on 540 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire (166 Republicans, 168 Democrats, and 206 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted June 14 through 18, 2014.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 540 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2014 election for US Senate were being held today between Scott Brown, the Republican, and Jeanne Shaheen, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Brown or Shaheen? (names rotated)

2014 US Senate Brown Shaheen Undecided
All voters 38% 50% 12%
Republicans (31%) 81% 6% 13%
Democrats (31%) 9% 89% 2%
Undeclared (38%) 28% 53% 19%
Male (50%) 52% 38% 10%
Female (50%) 25% 61% 14%
18-44 (41%) 36% 51% 13%
45 and older (59%) 40% 49% 11%
Landline (75%) 40% 49% 11%
Other (25%) 34% 51% 14%
3/2014 38% 50% 12%
12/2013 38% 48% 14%

Of the 36% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, Shaheen leads Brown 92% to 5%, with 3% undecided.

Of the 56% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, Brown leads Shaheen 66% to 19%, with 15% undecided.

Of the 9% of registered voters in New Hampshire saying the are undecided about the job Obama is doing, Shaheen leads Brown 73% to 1%, with 26% undecided.

Brown's slide among women continues (this Brown ad is an acknowledgment of the problem, but is not an effective solution).

 

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