October 30, 20142014 US Senate Ballot
The
following
results
are based on 600 completed
interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New
Hampshire
(215 Republicans, 181 Democrats, and 204
undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 27 through 29, 2014. The
theoretical
margin of error
for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points,
95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. Question wording and responses:
If the 2014 election for US Senate were
being held today between Scott Brown, the Republican, and Jeanne
Shaheen, the Democrat, for
whom would you vote - Brown or Shaheen? (names rotated)
|
2014 US Senate
|
Brown
|
Shaheen
|
Undecided
|
|
|
Likely voters
|
49%
|
49%
|
2%
|
|
| Republicans (36%)
|
87% |
11% |
2% |
| Democrats (30%)
|
4% |
91% |
5% |
| Undeclared (34%)
|
47% |
51% |
2% |
|
| Male (49%) |
54% |
43% |
3% |
| Female
(51%) |
43% |
54% |
3% |
|
| 18-44 (38%) |
50% |
49% |
1% |
| 45 and older (62%) |
48% |
48% |
4% |
|
| Landline (72%) |
49% |
48% |
3% |
| Other (28%) |
47% |
50% |
3% |
|
| All voters: |
|
|
|
| October 22, 2014 |
48% |
49% |
3% |
| September 29, 2014 |
43% |
53% |
4% |
| September 2014 |
45% |
47% |
8% |
| June 2014 |
38% |
50% |
12% |
| March 2014 |
38% |
50% |
12% |
| December 2013 |
38% |
48% |
14% |
When likely voters were asked to predict the
eventual winner in the race, 41% say Brown, 53% say Shaheen,
and 6% are undecided.
Among the 49% saying they would vote for Brown,
79% say Brown will be the eventual winner, 13% say Shaheen,
and 8% are undecided.
Among the 49% saying they would vote for Shaheen,
4% say Brown will be the eventual winner, 94% say Shaheen,
and 2% are undecided.
|
