American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

December 31, 2009

Ayotte/Hodes
Hodes/Lamontagne
2010 US Senate Ballots

The following results are based on 566 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 566 interviews, 173 were among Republicans, 175 among Democrats, and 218 among undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted December 26 through 29, 2009.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 566 registered voters is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and response:

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Kelly Ayotte, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Ayotte or Hodes? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Ayotte Hodes Undecided
All voters 43% 36% 21%
Republicans 81% 6% 13%
Democrats 13% 70% 17%
Undeclared 37% 33% 30%
9/09 41% 34% 25

 

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Paul Hodes, the Democrat, and Ovide Lamontagne, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Hodes or Lamontagne? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Hodes Lamontagne Undecided
All voters 31% 37% 32%
Republicans 3% 77% 20%
Democrats 61% 13% 26%
Undeclared 30% 23% 47%

 


 

September 30, 2009

Ayotte/Hodes 2010 US Senate Ballot

The following results are based on 572 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 572 interviews, 166 were among Republicans, 171 among Democrats, and 235 among undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted September 25 through 29, 2009.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 572 registered voters is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and response:

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Kelly Ayotte, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Ayotte or Hodes? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Ayotte Hodes Undecided
All voters 41% 34% 25%
Republicans 84% 8% 8%
Democrats 9% 83% 9%
Undeclared 34% 17% 49%
Men 37% 32% 31%
Women 44% 36% 20%

 

 


 

June 30, 2009

Hodes/Sununu 2010 US Senate Ballot

The following results are based on 558 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 558 interviews, 150 were among Republicans, 174 Democrats, and 234 undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted June 27 through 29, 2009.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 558 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and response:

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Paul Hodes, the Democrat, and John Sununu, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Hodes or Sununu? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Hodes Sununu Undecided
All voters 40% 34% 26%
Republicans 5% 77% 18%
Democrats 81% 3% 16%
Undeclared 33% 30% 37%
Men 32% 33% 35%
Women 46% 35% 19%
3/09 42% 36% 22%

 

 


 

December 30, 2008

Gregg/Shea-Porter and Gregg/Hodes 2010 Senate Ballots

The following results are based on 569 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of adults registered to vote in New Hampshire (167 Republicans, 175 Democrats, and 227 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted December 27 through 29, 2008.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 569 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Judd Gregg, the Republican, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Gregg or Shea-Porter? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Gregg Shea-Porter Undecided
All voters 54% 35% 11%
Republicans 78% 9% 13%
Democrats 30% 56% 14%
Undeclared 54% 38% 8%
Men 62% 27% 11%
Women 45% 39% 16%

 

If the 2010 election for US Senate were being held today between Judd Gregg, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Gregg or Hodes? (names rotated)

2010 US Senate Gregg Hodes Undecided
All voters 47% 40% 13%
Republicans 75% 9% 16%
Democrats 22% 67% 11%
Undeclared 46% 42% 12%
Men 50% 35% 15%
Women 40% 46% 14%

 

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