American Research Group, Inc.

The New Hampshire Poll

March 2018 Quarterly Survey

2020 Presidential Primary and General Election Ballots


The following results are based on 1,500 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults age 18 and older in New Hampshire. Of the 1,500 interviews, 1,365 were among registered voters (420 Republicans, 400 Democrats, and 545 undeclared (Independent) voters).

A total of 861 respondents were reached on landlines and 639 respondents were reached on cell phones.

The interviews were conducted March 21 through March 27, 2018.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 1,500 is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 1,365 registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 400 likely Democratic presidential preference primary voters (222 registered Democrats and 178 registered undeclared voters) is plus or minus 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 420 likely Republican presidential preference primary voters (270 registered Republicans and 150 registered undeclared voters) is plus or minus 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Ballots

Democratic Presidential Preference Primary:

Biden/Warren

Biden/Sanders


Republican Presidential Preference Primary:

Flake/Trump

Kasich/Trump

Flake/Kasich/Trump

Cotton/Cruz/Flake/Kasich


General Election:

Biden/Trump

Trump/Warren

Sanders/Trump

Biden/Kasich

Kasich/Warren
  


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