American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

2020 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary Ballots

Interview dates: August 4-6, 2017

Sample size: 600 likely Republican presidential primary voters (257 interviews completed among landline households and 343 completed among cell phones)

Margin of error:  4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Survey Sponsor: The American Research Group, Inc. for the New Hampshire Poll

The New Hampshire Poll has been conducting surveys of voters in New Hampshire since 1976.

 

Question wording and responses:

If the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary election were being held today between John Kasich and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote - Kasich or Trump? (names rotated)

 

NH Republican Presidential Primary Ballot
  Kasich Trump Undecided
Likely primary voters 52% 40% 8%
Republicans (65%) 51% 42% 7%
Undeclared voters (35%) 54% 37% 9%
Men (50%) 40% 53% 7%
Women (50%) 64% 28% 8%
18 to 49 (40%) 49% 42% 9%
50 and older (60%) 54% 39% 7%
Approve of Trump job (44%) 37% 56% 7%
Disapprove of Trump job (53%) 64% 28% 8%

 

If the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary election were being held today between John Kasich and Mike Pence, for whom would you vote - Kasich or Pence? (names rotated)

 

NH Republican Presidential Primary Ballot
  Kasich Pence Undecided
Likely primary voters 41% 27% 32%
Republicans (65%) 37% 30% 33%
Undeclared voters (35%) 48% 21% 31%
Men (50%) 44% 25% 31%
Women (50%) 38% 29% 33%
18 to 49 (40%) 40% 30% 30%
50 and older (60%) 41% 25% 34%
Approve of Trump job (44%) 36% 32% 32%
Disapprove of Trump job (53%) 45% 23% 32%

 

This is only the second time since the New Hampshire Poll began in 1976 that potential challengers of the same party were tested against an incumbent president. The first time was in the September 1978 New Hampshire Poll when Jerry Brown and Edward Kennedy were included in a ballot question with Jimmy Carter. In that poll among likely Democratic primary voters, Kennedy took the lead with 40%, followed by Carter at 25%, Brown at 13%, and with 22% undecided. In the same poll, 44% of likely Democratic primary voters said they approved of the way Carter was handling his job, 22% disapproved, and 34% were undecided.

ARG home