American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

November 3, 2016

2016 US President Ballot

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New Hampshire (209 Republicans, 191 Democrats, and 200 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 31 through November 2, 2016.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the election for US President were being held today between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, of the Green Party, for whom would you vote - Clinton, Trump, Johnson, or Stein? (names rotated)


New Hampshire Presidential Ballot
  Clinton Trump Others* Undecided
Likely voters 43% 48% 5% 4%
Democrats (32%) 83% 7% 3% 7%
Republicans (35%) 7% 85% 4% 4%
Undeclared (33%) 41% 47% 8% 4%
Men (49%) 36% 57% 3% 4%
Women (51%) 49% 38% 7% 6%
18 to 44 (45%) 44% 45% 6% 5%
45 and older (55%) 41% 50% 4% 5%
Landline (51%) 41% 49% 5% 5%
Other (49%) 44% 46% 5% 5%
9/2016 46% 42% 7% 5%
6/2016 47% 42% 4% 7%
* 4% for Gary Johnson and 1% for Jill Stein

 

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