American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

September 27, 2018

Quarterly Survey – September 2018

The following results are based on 897 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 897 interviews, 800 interviews were among registered voters (243 Republicans, 223 Democrats, and 334 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted September 21 through 26, 2018.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 897 is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 800 registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

Would you say that you are now financially better off, about the same, or worse off compared to a year ago?

 

Better off

The same

Worse off

Undecided

Total sample 26% 64% 9% 1%
Voters 30% 65% 4% 1%
6/1834%50%15%1%
3/1835%56%7%2%
12/1728%47%25%-
9/1725%49%25%1%
6/1727%48%24%1%
3/1723%51%25%1%
12/1618%67%8%7%
9/1629%40%29%2%
6/1611%54%33%2%
3/1618%45%35%2%
12/1515%48%34%3%
9/1518%52%29%1%
6/15 23% 52% 24% 1%
3/15 18% 47% 34% 1%
12/14 20% 50% 29% 1%
9/14 22% 43% 30% 5%
6/14 25% 42% 32% 1%
3/14 15% 38% 44% 3%
12/13 14% 51% 34% 1%
9/13 21% 39% 38% 2%
6/13 22% 50% 27% 1%
3/13 13% 44% 39% 4%
12/12 11% 56% 33% *
9/12 19% 50% 30% 1%
6/12 11% 48% 39% 2%
3/12 18% 42% 40% -
12/11 8% 40% 51% 1%
9/11 12% 37% 51% -
6/11 14% 38% 47% 1%
3/11 18% 29% 53% -
12/10 7% 55% 37% 1%
9/10 4% 44% 49% 3%
6/10 8% 50% 42% -
3/10 17% 46% 37% -
12/09 9% 35% 53% 3%
9/09 5% 36% 57% 2%
6/09 2% 47% 49% 2%
3/09 9% 35% 51% 5%
12/08 8% 26% 65% 1%
9/08 26% 295 41% 4%
6/08 7% 39% 54% -
3/08 15% 29% 56% -
12/07 16% 41% 41% 2%
9/07 21% 47% 31% 1%
6/07 13% 53% 33% 1%
3/07 17% 53% 27% 3%
12/06 14% 54% 31% 1%
9/06 16% 42% 39% 3%
6/06 10% 53% 33% 4%
3/06 25% 33% 38% 4%
12/05 21% 44% 33% 2%
9/05 13% 55% 29% 3%
6/05 14% 29% 55% 2%
3/05 18% 35% 45% 2%
12/04 25% 36% 38% 1%
9/04 20% 38% 41% 1%
6/04 28% 37% 35% -
3/04 22% 42% 36% -
12/03 28% 47% 24% 1%
9/03 30% 35% 31% 4%
6/03 11% 52% 37% -
3/03 21% 42% 36% -
12/02 14% 49% 37% -
9/02 15% 42% 43% -
6/02 18% 55% 27% -
3/02 13% 48% 39% -
12/01 21% 51% 27% 1%
9/01 16% 64% 19% 1%
6/01 29% 43% 25% 3%
3/01 44% 43% 13% -
12/00 40% 48% 11% 1%
9/00 36% 39% 25% -
6/00 31% 53% 16% -
3/00 31% 50% 16% 4%
12/99 33% 45% 22% -
9/99 35% 37% 28% -
6/99 43% 46% 10% 1%
3/99 33% 49% 15% 3%

 

Do you expect to be financially better off, about the same, or worse off a year from now?

 

Better off

The same

Worse off

Undecided

Total sample 21% 65% 11% 3%
Voters 23% 60% 12% 52%
6/1842%28%28%2%
3/1844%20%34%2%
12/1733%41%23%3%
9/1725%42%29%4%
6/1725%45%26%4%
3/1723%40%33%4%
12/1636%40%16%8%
9/1622%57%13%8%
6/1626%43%25%6%
3/1624%52%21%3%
12/1517%46%27%10%
9/1522%48%21%9%
6/15 26% 52% 17% 5%
3/15 10% 67% 19% 4%
12/14 19% 54% 22% 5%
9/14 16% 60% 19% 5%
6/14 23% 49% 24% 4%
3/14 20% 40% 34% 6%
12/13 23% 47% 29% 1%
9/13 20% 44% 32% 4%
6/13 17% 53% 28% 2%
3/13 13% 52% 27% 8%
12/12 14% 50% 33% 3%
9/12 24% 49% 15% 12%
6/12 22% 43% 21% 14%
3/12 24% 48% 24% 4%
12/11 15% 55% 24% 6%
9/11 17% 43% 38% 2%
6/11 11% 60% 25% 4%
3/11 21% 45% 31% 3%
12/10 23% 57% 17% 3%
9/10 22% 52% 20% 6%
6/10 20% 53% 20% 7%
3/10 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/09 19% 50% 30% 1%
9/09 20% 49% 26% 5%
6/09 17% 55% 22% 6%
3/09 19% 58% 19% 4%
12/08 24% 49% 25% 2%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 23% 35% 34% 8%
3/08 7% 56% 32% 5%
12/07 18% 51% 30% 1%
9/07 36% 43% 17% 4%
6/07 15% 55% 22% 8%
3/07 22% 59% 17% 2%
12/06 16% 59% 22% 3%
9/06 24% 41% 26% 9%
6/06 17% 53% 27% 3%
3/06 23% 46% 29% 2%
12/05 28% 41% 23% 8%
9/05 32% 42% 19% 7%
6/05 24% 33% 38% 5%
3/05 35% 33% 28% 4%
12/04 43% 35% 17% 5%
9/04 24% 44% 20% 12%
6/04 35% 50% 12% 3%
3/04 49% 44% 4% 3%
12/03 51% 38% 5% 6%
9/03 44% 43% 12% 1%
6/03 36% 44% 18% 2%
3/03 38% 53% 7% 2%
12/02 35% 46% 19% -
9/02 46% 38% 4% 11%
6/02 28% 58% 8% 6%
3/02 27% 62% 6% 5%
12/01 33% 51% 8% 8%
9/01 28% 59% 9% 4%
6/01 41% 43% 10% 6%
3/01 46% 48% 6% -
12/00 40% 47% 8% 5%
9/00 37% 46% 12% 5%
6/00 31% 53% 16% -
3/00 31% 50% 16% 4%
12/99 44% 42% 10% 4%
9/99 43% 49% 7% 1%
6/99 38% 53% 6% 3%
3/99 40% 49% 3% 8%

 

In general, do you feel that this is a good time or a bad time for people like yourself to make a major purchase for their homes or families?

 

Good time

Depends

Bad time

Undecided

Total sample 28% 19% 26% 27%
Voters 32% 16% 23% 29%
6/1827%34%31%8%
3/1830%41%25%4%
12/1721%26%50%3%
9/1717%29%52%2%
6/1717%29%52%2%
3/1714%29%55%2%
12/1626%30%32%12%
9/1628%36%23%13%
6/1617%29%49%5%
3/1616%34%37%14%
12/1525%32%38%5%
9/1526%45%23%6%
6/15 29% 37% 25% 9%
3/15 19% 35% 45% 1%
12/14 23% 33% 45% *
9/14 21% 30% 47% 2%
6/14 21% 38% 41% *
3/14 16% 38% 46% *
12/13 19% 45% 36% *
9/13 17% 41% 42% -
6/13 17% 53% 28% 2%
3/13 19% 42% 39% -
12/12 19% 46% 35% -
9/12 31% 38% 31% -
6/12 23% 42% 35% -
3/12 20% 43% 37% -
12/11 12% 44% 44% -
9/11 17% 56% 28% -
6/11 18% 45% 37% -
3/11 17% 47% 36% -
12/10 16% 41% 43% -
9/10 14% 52% 34% -
6/10 22% 36% 42% -
3/10 25% 45% 30% -
12/09 18% 50% 31% 1%
9/09 14% 54% 32% -
6/09 13% 57% 30% -
3/09 17% 59% 24% -
12/08 12% 53% 35% -
9/08 9% 53% 38% -
6/08 15% 59% 26% -
3/08 12% 54% 34% -
12/07 19% 53% 28% -
9/07 16% 58% 26% -
6/07 16% 40% 44% -
3/07 14% 37% 49% -
12/06 16% 49% 35% -
9/06 21% 45% 34% -
6/06 14% 48% 37% 1%
3/06 17% 38% 45% 1%
12/05 8% 51% 40% 1%
9/05 17% 37% 45% 1%
6/05 33% 11% 50% 6%
3/05 21% 8% 67% 4%
12/04 27% 5% 62% 6%
9/04 31% 7% 57% 5%
6/04 27% 6% 58% 9%
3/04 47% 5% 48% -
12/03 38% 4% 54% 4%
9/03 29% 7% 55% 9%
6/03 34% 13% 48% 5%
3/03 28% 4% 64% 4%
12/02 40% 3% 57% -
9/02 32% 4% 56% 8%
6/02 43% 6% 38% 13%
3/02 34% 8% 56% 2%
12/01 31% 9% 54% 6%
9/01 25% 6% 64% 5%
6/01 49% 3% 43% 5%
3/01 46% 8% 35% 11%
12/00 47% 6% 35% 12%
9/00 69% - 28% 3%
6/00 65% 6% 21% 8%
3/00 65% 6% 21% 8%
12/99 44% 7% 43% 6%
9/99 64% 5% 28% 3%
6/99 66% 8% 18% 8%
3/99 56% 10% 21% 3%

 

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