American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

December 21, 2018

Quarterly Survey – December 2018

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 530 interviews were among registered voters (162 Republicans, 155 Democrats, and 213 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted December 15 through 19, 2018.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 530 registered voters is plus or minus 5.3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

Would you say that you are now financially better off, about the same, or worse off compared to a year ago?

 

Better off

The same

Worse off

Undecided

Total sample 20% 56% 22% 2%
Voters 22% 56% 20% 2%
9/1826%64%9%1%
6/1834%50%15%1%
3/1835%56%7%2%
12/1728%47%25%-
9/1725%49%25%1%
6/1727%48%24%1%
3/1723%51%25%1%
12/1618%67%8%7%
9/1629%40%29%2%
6/1611%54%33%2%
3/1618%45%35%2%
12/1515%48%34%3%
9/1518%52%29%1%
6/15 23% 52% 24% 1%
3/15 18% 47% 34% 1%
12/14 20% 50% 29% 1%
9/14 22% 43% 30% 5%
6/14 25% 42% 32% 1%
3/14 15% 38% 44% 3%
12/13 14% 51% 34% 1%
9/13 21% 39% 38% 2%
6/13 22% 50% 27% 1%
3/13 13% 44% 39% 4%
12/12 11% 56% 33% *
9/12 19% 50% 30% 1%
6/12 11% 48% 39% 2%
3/12 18% 42% 40% -
12/11 8% 40% 51% 1%
9/11 12% 37% 51% -
6/11 14% 38% 47% 1%
3/11 18% 29% 53% -
12/10 7% 55% 37% 1%
9/10 4% 44% 49% 3%
6/10 8% 50% 42% -
3/10 17% 46% 37% -
12/09 9% 35% 53% 3%
9/09 5% 36% 57% 2%
6/09 2% 47% 49% 2%
3/09 9% 35% 51% 5%
12/08 8% 26% 65% 1%
9/08 26% 295 41% 4%
6/08 7% 39% 54% -
3/08 15% 29% 56% -
12/07 16% 41% 41% 2%
9/07 21% 47% 31% 1%
6/07 13% 53% 33% 1%
3/07 17% 53% 27% 3%
12/06 14% 54% 31% 1%
9/06 16% 42% 39% 3%
6/06 10% 53% 33% 4%
3/06 25% 33% 38% 4%
12/05 21% 44% 33% 2%
9/05 13% 55% 29% 3%
6/05 14% 29% 55% 2%
3/05 18% 35% 45% 2%
12/04 25% 36% 38% 1%
9/04 20% 38% 41% 1%
6/04 28% 37% 35% -
3/04 22% 42% 36% -
12/03 28% 47% 24% 1%
9/03 30% 35% 31% 4%
6/03 11% 52% 37% -
3/03 21% 42% 36% -
12/02 14% 49% 37% -
9/02 15% 42% 43% -
6/02 18% 55% 27% -
3/02 13% 48% 39% -
12/01 21% 51% 27% 1%
9/01 16% 64% 19% 1%
6/01 29% 43% 25% 3%
3/01 44% 43% 13% -
12/00 40% 48% 11% 1%
9/00 36% 39% 25% -
6/00 31% 53% 16% -
3/00 31% 50% 16% 4%
12/99 33% 45% 22% -
9/99 35% 37% 28% -
6/99 43% 46% 10% 1%
3/99 33% 49% 15% 3%

 

Do you expect to be financially better off, about the same, or worse off a year from now?

 

Better off

The same

Worse off

Undecided

Total sample 17% 62% 19% 2%
Voters 19% 60% 18% 3%
9/1821%65%11%3%
6/1842%28%28%2%
3/1844%20%34%2%
12/1733%41%23%3%
9/1725%42%29%4%
6/1725%45%26%4%
3/1723%40%33%4%
12/1636%40%16%8%
9/1622%57%13%8%
6/1626%43%25%6%
3/1624%52%21%3%
12/1517%46%27%10%
9/1522%48%21%9%
6/15 26% 52% 17% 5%
3/15 10% 67% 19% 4%
12/14 19% 54% 22% 5%
9/14 16% 60% 19% 5%
6/14 23% 49% 24% 4%
3/14 20% 40% 34% 6%
12/13 23% 47% 29% 1%
9/13 20% 44% 32% 4%
6/13 17% 53% 28% 2%
3/13 13% 52% 27% 8%
12/12 14% 50% 33% 3%
9/12 24% 49% 15% 12%
6/12 22% 43% 21% 14%
3/12 24% 48% 24% 4%
12/11 15% 55% 24% 6%
9/11 17% 43% 38% 2%
6/11 11% 60% 25% 4%
3/11 21% 45% 31% 3%
12/10 23% 57% 17% 3%
9/10 22% 52% 20% 6%
6/10 20% 53% 20% 7%
3/10 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/09 19% 50% 30% 1%
9/09 20% 49% 26% 5%
6/09 17% 55% 22% 6%
3/09 19% 58% 19% 4%
12/08 24% 49% 25% 2%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 23% 35% 34% 8%
3/08 7% 56% 32% 5%
12/07 18% 51% 30% 1%
9/07 36% 43% 17% 4%
6/07 15% 55% 22% 8%
3/07 22% 59% 17% 2%
12/06 16% 59% 22% 3%
9/06 24% 41% 26% 9%
6/06 17% 53% 27% 3%
3/06 23% 46% 29% 2%
12/05 28% 41% 23% 8%
9/05 32% 42% 19% 7%
6/05 24% 33% 38% 5%
3/05 35% 33% 28% 4%
12/04 43% 35% 17% 5%
9/04 24% 44% 20% 12%
6/04 35% 50% 12% 3%
3/04 49% 44% 4% 3%
12/03 51% 38% 5% 6%
9/03 44% 43% 12% 1%
6/03 36% 44% 18% 2%
3/03 38% 53% 7% 2%
12/02 35% 46% 19% -
9/02 46% 38% 4% 11%
6/02 28% 58% 8% 6%
3/02 27% 62% 6% 5%
12/01 33% 51% 8% 8%
9/01 28% 59% 9% 4%
6/01 41% 43% 10% 6%
3/01 46% 48% 6% -
12/00 40% 47% 8% 5%
9/00 37% 46% 12% 5%
6/00 31% 53% 16% -
3/00 31% 50% 16% 4%
12/99 44% 42% 10% 4%
9/99 43% 49% 7% 1%
6/99 38% 53% 6% 3%
3/99 40% 49% 3% 8%

 

In general, do you feel that this is a good time or a bad time for people like yourself to make a major purchase for their homes or families?

 

Good time

Depends

Bad time

Undecided

Total sample 29% 31% 23% 17%
Voters 33% 27% 24% 16%
9/1828%19%26%27%
6/1827%34%31%8%
3/1830%41%25%4%
12/1721%26%50%3%
9/1717%29%52%2%
6/1717%29%52%2%
3/1714%29%55%2%
12/1626%30%32%12%
9/1628%36%23%13%
6/1617%29%49%5%
3/1616%34%37%14%
12/1525%32%38%5%
9/1526%45%23%6%
6/15 29% 37% 25% 9%
3/15 19% 35% 45% 1%
12/14 23% 33% 45% *
9/14 21% 30% 47% 2%
6/14 21% 38% 41% *
3/14 16% 38% 46% *
12/13 19% 45% 36% *
9/13 17% 41% 42% -
6/13 17% 53% 28% 2%
3/13 19% 42% 39% -
12/12 19% 46% 35% -
9/12 31% 38% 31% -
6/12 23% 42% 35% -
3/12 20% 43% 37% -
12/11 12% 44% 44% -
9/11 17% 56% 28% -
6/11 18% 45% 37% -
3/11 17% 47% 36% -
12/10 16% 41% 43% -
9/10 14% 52% 34% -
6/10 22% 36% 42% -
3/10 25% 45% 30% -
12/09 18% 50% 31% 1%
9/09 14% 54% 32% -
6/09 13% 57% 30% -
3/09 17% 59% 24% -
12/08 12% 53% 35% -
9/08 9% 53% 38% -
6/08 15% 59% 26% -
3/08 12% 54% 34% -
12/07 19% 53% 28% -
9/07 16% 58% 26% -
6/07 16% 40% 44% -
3/07 14% 37% 49% -
12/06 16% 49% 35% -
9/06 21% 45% 34% -
6/06 14% 48% 37% 1%
3/06 17% 38% 45% 1%
12/05 8% 51% 40% 1%
9/05 17% 37% 45% 1%
6/05 33% 11% 50% 6%
3/05 21% 8% 67% 4%
12/04 27% 5% 62% 6%
9/04 31% 7% 57% 5%
6/04 27% 6% 58% 9%
3/04 47% 5% 48% -
12/03 38% 4% 54% 4%
9/03 29% 7% 55% 9%
6/03 34% 13% 48% 5%
3/03 28% 4% 64% 4%
12/02 40% 3% 57% -
9/02 32% 4% 56% 8%
6/02 43% 6% 38% 13%
3/02 34% 8% 56% 2%
12/01 31% 9% 54% 6%
9/01 25% 6% 64% 5%
6/01 49% 3% 43% 5%
3/01 46% 8% 35% 11%
12/00 47% 6% 35% 12%
9/00 69% - 28% 3%
6/00 65% 6% 21% 8%
3/00 65% 6% 21% 8%
12/99 44% 7% 43% 6%
9/99 64% 5% 28% 3%
6/99 66% 8% 18% 8%
3/99 56% 10% 21% 3%

 

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