American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

December 21, 2018

Quarterly Survey – December 2018

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 530 interviews were among registered voters (162 Republicans, 155 Democrats, and 213 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted December 15 through 19, 2018.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 530 registered voters is plus or minus 5.3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 36% 37% 14% 13%
Voters 41% 34% 14% 11%
9/1839%39%16%6%
6/1829%45%18%8%
3/1830%57%11%2%
12/1745%43%6%6%
9/1740%50%6%4%
6/1745%45%4%6%
3/1750%40%5%5%
12/1627%45%28%8%
9/1639%30%23%8%
6/1622%34%42%2%
3/1615%60%19%6%
12/1523%39%26%11%
9/1525%43%20%12%
6/15 26% 43% 26% 7%
3/15 20% 46% 30% 4%
12/14 26% 39% 29% 6%
9/14 26% 40% 20% 14%
6/14 16% 53% 22% 9%
3/14 18% 42% 31% 10%
12/13 14% 57% 26% 3%
9/13 19% 47% 23% 11%
6/13 24% 47% 24% 5%
3/13 16% 50% 27% 7%
12/12 16% 47% 27% 10%
9/12 29% 41% 23% 7%
6/12 18% 37% 36% 9%
3/12 23% 41% 26% 10%
12/11 14% 46% 29% 11%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 23% 45% 24% 8%
Voters 26% 40% 25% 9%
9/1824%58%7%11%
6/1837%31%29%3%
3/1842%37%16%5%
12/1732%43%21%4%
9/1723%49%22%6%
6/1730%41%24%5%
3/1732%40%25%3%
12/1624%41%22%13%
9/1638%42%12%8%
6/168%60%29%3%
3/1614%70%11%5%
12/1530%43%22%5%
9/1525%58%13%4%
6/15 34% 50% 15% 1%
3/15 22% 51% 22% 5%
12/14 32% 43% 17% 8%
9/14 26% 44% 13% 17%
6/14 23% 53% 17% 7%
3/14 26% 43% 24% 7%
12/13 23% 48% 22% 7%
9/13 24% 45% 19% 12%
6/13 33% 49% 17% 1%
3/13 32% 40% 21% 7%
12/12 35% 30% 28% 7%
9/12 32% 38% 13% 17%
6/12 27% 41% 14% 18%
3/12 35% 38% 16% 11%
12/11 34% 38% 22% 6%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 26% 36% 29% 9%
Voters 30% 30% 31% 9%
9/1833%41%17%9%
6/1844%21%29%6%
3/1850%28%19%3%
12/1733%36%25%6%
9/1729%35%27%9%
6/1732%31%29%8%
3/1735%27%30%8%
12/1627%38%24%11%
9/1649%27%14%10%
6/1627%37%25%11%
3/1636%49%10%5%
12/1532%38%18%12%
9/1525%40%21%14%
6/15 33% 42% 17% 8%
3/15 23% 40% 20% 17%
12/14 29% 41% 19% 11%
9/14 34% 34% 18% 14%
6/14 34% 34% 20% 12%
3/14 32% 33% 27% 8%
12/13 32% 36% 22% 10%
9/13 33% 35% 20% 12%
6/13 38% 34% 25% 3%
3/13 32% 37% 21% 10%
12/12 42% 27% 21% 10%
9/12 46% 20% 12% 22%
6/12 35% 27% 14% 24%
3/12 43% 28% 16% 13%
12/11 38% 35% 13% 14%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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