American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

September 30, 2026

Quarterly Survey – September 2026

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 542 interviews were among registered voters (185 Republicans, 161 Democrats, and 196 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted September 21 through 29, 2026.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 542 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 10% 32% 52% 6%
Voters 10% 31% 53% 6%
6/2617%31%45%7%
3/2619%30%42%9%
12/2523%35%35%7%
9/2525%34%33%8%
6/2528%35%31%6%
3/2531%34%28%7%
12/2434%36%23%7%
9/2440%35%21%4%
6/2435%35%17%13%
3/2435%29%25%11%
12/2327%30%26%17%
9/2326%35%24%15%
6/2319%40%17%24%
3/2324%40%19%17%
12/2230%32%22%16%
9/2237%34%16%13%
6/2240%42%7%11%
3/2232%40%8%20%
12/2129%41%15%15%
9/2130%40%14%16%
6/2129%35%15%21%
3/2121%34%20%25%
12/2024%30%31%15%
9/2030%34%15%21%
6/2032%30%18%20%
3/2047%18%27%8%
12/1940%45%14%1%
9/1942%33%14%11%
6/1939%33%18%10%
3/1940%26%20%14%
12/1836%37%14%13%
9/1839%39%16%6%
6/1829%45%18%8%
3/1830%57%11%2%
12/1745%43%6%6%
9/1740%50%6%4%
6/1745%45%4%6%
3/1750%40%5%5%
12/1627%45%28%8%
9/1639%30%23%8%
6/1622%34%42%2%
3/1615%60%19%6%
12/1523%39%26%11%
9/1525%43%20%12%
6/15 26% 43% 26% 7%
3/15 20% 46% 30% 4%
12/14 26% 39% 29% 6%
9/14 26% 40% 20% 14%
6/14 16% 53% 22% 9%
3/14 18% 42% 31% 10%
12/13 14% 57% 26% 3%
9/13 19% 47% 23% 11%
6/13 24% 47% 24% 5%
3/13 16% 50% 27% 7%
12/12 16% 47% 27% 10%
9/12 29% 41% 23% 7%
6/12 18% 37% 36% 9%
3/12 23% 41% 26% 10%
12/11 14% 46% 29% 11%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 8% 22% 61% 9%
Voters 8% 21% 62% 9%
6/2614%28%45%13%
3/2616%27%46%11%
12/2521%32%40%7%
9/2521%33%37%9%
6/2524%33%33%10%
3/2528%32%31%9%
12/2431%32%21%16%
9/2440%26%11%23%
6/2423%47%26%4%
3/2425%42%31%2%
12/2317%42%37%4%
9/2318%43%34%5%
6/2325%42%30%3%
3/2323%40%35%2%
12/2225%37%35%3%
9/2219%40%35%6%
6/2220%30%49%1%
3/2228%28%40%4%
12/2141%36%17%6%
9/2149%32%12%7%
6/2158%22%15%5%
3/2165%18%15%2%
12/2042%20%36%2%
9/2053%30%14%3%
6/2057%21%15%7%
3/2043%9%39%9%
12/1931%42%14%13%
9/1921%57%13%9%
6/1922%50%20%8%
3/1928%43%22%7%
12/1823%45%24%8%
9/1824%58%7%11%
6/1837%31%29%3%
3/1842%37%16%5%
12/1732%43%21%4%
9/1723%49%22%6%
6/1730%41%24%5%
3/1732%40%25%3%
12/1624%41%22%13%
9/1638%42%12%8%
6/168%60%29%3%
3/1614%70%11%5%
12/1530%43%22%5%
9/1525%58%13%4%
6/15 34% 50% 15% 1%
3/15 22% 51% 22% 5%
12/14 32% 43% 17% 8%
9/14 26% 44% 13% 17%
6/14 23% 53% 17% 7%
3/14 26% 43% 24% 7%
12/13 23% 48% 22% 7%
9/13 24% 45% 19% 12%
6/13 33% 49% 17% 1%
3/13 32% 40% 21% 7%
12/12 35% 30% 28% 7%
9/12 32% 38% 13% 17%
6/12 27% 41% 14% 18%
3/12 35% 38% 16% 11%
12/11 34% 38% 22% 6%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 7% 22% 64% 7%
Voters 7% 23% 63% 7%
6/2615%30%46%9%
3/2617%26%45%12%
12/2521%28%44%7%
9/2520%30%42%8%
6/2523%31%37%9%
3/2526%33%34%7%
12/2430%32%29%9%
9/2450%32%14%4%
6/2430%34%26%10%
3/2433%30%29%8%
12/2327%28%37%8%
9/2334%28%31%7%
6/2334%36%27%3%
3/2327%39%31%3%
12/2230%32%30%8%
9/2226%34%26%14%
6/2224%42%30%4%
3/2236%28%32%4%
12/2147%23%20%10%
9/2145%21%24%10%
6/2158%11%25%6%
3/2168%9%19%4%
12/2049%14%32%5%
9/2065%18%13%4%
6/2062%19%15%4%
3/2041%34%16%9%
12/1926%44%17%13%
9/1927%47%20%6%
6/1922%44%27%7%
3/1927%36%29%8%
12/1826%36%29%9%
9/1833%41%17%9%
6/1844%21%29%6%
3/1850%28%19%3%
12/1733%36%25%6%
9/1729%35%27%9%
6/1732%31%29%8%
3/1735%27%30%8%
12/1627%38%24%11%
9/1649%27%14%10%
6/1627%37%25%11%
3/1636%49%10%5%
12/1532%38%18%12%
9/1525%40%21%14%
6/15 33% 42% 17% 8%
3/15 23% 40% 20% 17%
12/14 29% 41% 19% 11%
9/14 34% 34% 18% 14%
6/14 34% 34% 20% 12%
3/14 32% 33% 27% 8%
12/13 32% 36% 22% 10%
9/13 33% 35% 20% 12%
6/13 38% 34% 25% 3%
3/13 32% 37% 21% 10%
12/12 42% 27% 21% 10%
9/12 46% 20% 12% 22%
6/12 35% 27% 14% 24%
3/12 43% 28% 16% 13%
12/11 38% 35% 13% 14%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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