American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

June 28, 2018

Quarterly Survey – June 2018

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 535 interviews were among registered voters (165 Republicans, 150 Democrats, and 220 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted June 21 through 27, 2018.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 535 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 29% 45% 18% 8%
Voters 26% 50% 14% 10%
3/1830%57%11%2%
12/1745%43%6%6%
9/1740%50%6%4%
6/1745%45%4%6%
3/1750%40%5%5%
12/1627%45%28%8%
9/1639%30%23%8%
6/1622%34%42%2%
3/1615%60%19%6%
12/1523%39%26%11%
9/1525%43%20%12%
6/15 26% 43% 26% 7%
3/15 20% 46% 30% 4%
12/14 26% 39% 29% 6%
9/14 26% 40% 20% 14%
6/14 16% 53% 22% 9%
3/14 18% 42% 31% 10%
12/13 14% 57% 26% 3%
9/13 19% 47% 23% 11%
6/13 24% 47% 24% 5%
3/13 16% 50% 27% 7%
12/12 16% 47% 27% 10%
9/12 29% 41% 23% 7%
6/12 18% 37% 36% 9%
3/12 23% 41% 26% 10%
12/11 14% 46% 29% 11%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 37% 31% 29% 3%
Voters 41% 28% 26% 5%
3/1842%37%16%5%
12/1732%43%21%4%
9/1723%49%22%6%
6/1730%41%24%5%
3/1732%40%25%3%
12/1624%41%22%13%
9/1638%42%12%8%
6/168%60%29%3%
3/1614%70%11%5%
12/1530%43%22%5%
9/1525%58%13%4%
6/15 34% 50% 15% 1%
3/15 22% 51% 22% 5%
12/14 32% 43% 17% 8%
9/14 26% 44% 13% 17%
6/14 23% 53% 17% 7%
3/14 26% 43% 24% 7%
12/13 23% 48% 22% 7%
9/13 24% 45% 19% 12%
6/13 33% 49% 17% 1%
3/13 32% 40% 21% 7%
12/12 35% 30% 28% 7%
9/12 32% 38% 13% 17%
6/12 27% 41% 14% 18%
3/12 35% 38% 16% 11%
12/11 34% 38% 22% 6%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 44% 21% 29% 6%
Voters 43% 24% 27% 6%
3/1850%28%19%3%
12/1733%36%25%6%
9/1729%35%27%9%
6/1732%31%29%8%
3/1735%27%30%8%
12/1627%38%24%11%
9/1649%27%14%10%
6/1627%37%25%11%
3/1636%49%10%5%
12/1532%38%18%12%
9/1525%40%21%14%
6/15 33% 42% 17% 8%
3/15 23% 40% 20% 17%
12/14 29% 41% 19% 11%
9/14 34% 34% 18% 14%
6/14 34% 34% 20% 12%
3/14 32% 33% 27% 8%
12/13 32% 36% 22% 10%
9/13 33% 35% 20% 12%
6/13 38% 34% 25% 3%
3/13 32% 37% 21% 10%
12/12 42% 27% 21% 10%
9/12 46% 20% 12% 22%
6/12 35% 27% 14% 24%
3/12 43% 28% 16% 13%
12/11 38% 35% 13% 14%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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