American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

October 23, 2014

2014 NH Governor Ballot

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New Hampshire (205 Republicans, 187 Democrats, and 208 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 19 through 22, 2014.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2014 election for New Hampshire governor were being held today between Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, and Walt Havenstein, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Hassan or Havenstein? (names rotated)

2014 NH Governor Hassan Havenstein Undecided
Likely voters 53% 43% 4%
Republicans (34%) 15% 82% 3%
Democrats (31%) 92% 4% 4%
Undeclared (35%) 55% 40% 5%
Male (49%) 48% 45% 7%
Female (51%) 58% 41% 1%
18-44 (40%) 55% 40% 5%
45 and older (60%) 51% 45% 4%
Landline (71%) 52% 45% 3%
Other (29%) 55% 39% 6%
All voters:      
September 29, 2014 55% 40% 5%
September 2014 48% 40% 12%
June 2014 45% 32% 23%

When likely voters were asked to predict the eventual winner in the race, 60% say Hassan, 35% say Havenstein, and 5% are undecided.

Among the 53% saying they would vote for Hassan, 94% say Hassan will be the eventual winner, 4% say Havenstein, and 2% are undecided.

Among the 43% saying they would vote for Havenstein, 19% say Hassan will be the eventual winner, 73% say Havenstein, and 8% are undecided.

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