American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

September 30, 2014

2014 NH Governor Ballot

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New Hampshire (208 Republicans, 190 Democrats, and 202 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted September 27 through 29, 2014.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2014 election for New Hampshire governor were being held today between Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, and Walt Havenstein, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Hassan or Havenstein? (names rotated)

2014 NH Governor Hassan Havenstein Undecided
Likely voters 55% 40% 5%
Republicans (35%) 23% 74% 3%
Democrats (32%) 88% 9% 3%
Undeclared (33%) 57% 33% 10%
Male (50%) 47% 46% 7%
Female (50%) 63% 33% 4%
18-44 (40%) 52% 43% 5%
45 and older (60%) 57% 37% 6%
Landline (70%) 53% 42% 5%
Other (30%) 60% 34% 6%
All voters:      
September 2014 48% 40% 12%
June 2014 45% 32% 23%

When likely voters were asked to predict the eventual winner in the race, 59% say Hassan, 31% say Havenstein, and 10% are undecided.

Among the 55% saying they would vote for Hassan, 90% say Hassan will be the eventual winner, 5% say Havenstein, and 5% are undecided.

Among the 40% saying they would vote for Havenstein, 17% say Hassan will be the eventual winner, 73% say Havenstein, and 10% are undecided.

Top  |  NH Poll  |  ARG home