October 30, 20142014 NH Governor Ballot The
following
results
are based on 600 completed
interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New
Hampshire
(215 Republicans, 181 Democrats, and 204
undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 27 through 29, 2014. The
theoretical
margin of error
for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points,
95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question wording and responses:
If the 2014 election for New Hampshire governor
were
being held today between Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, and Walt
Havenstein, the Republican, for
whom would you vote - Hassan or Havenstein? (names rotated)
|
2014 NH Governor
|
Hassan |
Havenstein
|
Undecided
|
|
|
Likely voters
|
48%
|
46%
|
6%
|
|
| Republicans (36%)
|
12% |
83% |
5% |
|
Democrats (30%)
|
89% |
6% |
5% |
|
Undeclared (34%)
|
51% |
42% |
7% |
|
| Male (49%) |
45% |
50% |
5% |
| Female
(51%) |
52% |
42% |
6% |
|
| 18-44 (38%) |
49% |
46% |
5% |
| 45 and older (62%) |
48% |
46% |
6% |
|
| Landline (72%) |
49% |
46% |
5% |
| Other (28%) |
47% |
46% |
7% |
|
| All voters: |
|
|
|
| October 22, 2014 |
53% |
43% |
4% |
| September 29, 2014 |
55% |
40% |
5% |
| September 2014 |
48% |
40% |
12% |
| June 2014 |
45% |
32% |
23% |
When likely voters were asked to predict the
eventual winner in the race, 58% say Hassan,
33% say Havenstein, and 9% are undecided. Among the 48% saying they would
vote for Hassan, 94% say Hassan will be the eventual
winner, none say Havenstein, and 6% are undecided. Among the 46% saying they
would vote for Havenstein, 23% say Hassan will be the eventual
winner, 70% say Havenstein, and 7% are undecided. |
