American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

September 27, 2010

2010 NH CD1 Ballot

The following results are based on 400 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire likely to vote in the November 2, 2010 general election living in the First Congressional District. The interviews were conducted September 22 through 26, 2010.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 400 likely voters is plus or minus 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and response:

If the election for US Congress were being held today between Frank Guinta, the Republican, Philip Hodson, the Libertarian, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - Guinta, Hodson, or Shea-Porter? (names rotated)

NH CD 1 Guinta Hodson Shea-Porter Undecided
Likely voters 50% 2% 40% 8%
Republicans (37%) 81% 2% 8% 9%
Democrats (31%) 7% - 91% 2%
Undeclared (32%) 55% 4% 28% 13%
Men (49%) 53% 2% 37% 8%
Women (51%) 47% 2% 43% 8%
18-44 (41%) 49% 2% 39% 10%
45 + (59%) 51% 2% 41% 6%

 

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