Tennessee
Presidential Primary Preference:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Mar 1-3
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
20% |
| Paul |
9% |
| Romney |
31% |
| Santorum |
35% |
| Other |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
Rick Santorum leads the Tennessee Republican
presidential primary with 35%. Santorum is followed by Mitt
Romney with 31%, Newt Gingrich
with 20%, and Ron Paul with 9%.
Santorum leads Romney 35% to 28% among self-identified
Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 25% and Paul with 8%.
Among self-identified independents
and Democrats, Romney leads with 40%, followed by Santorum
with 34%, Paul with 12%, and Gingrich
with 6%.
Santorum leads Romney 47% to 35% among likely
Republican primary voters saying they have already voted
in the March 6 primary, followed by Gingrich with 11% and Paul
with 7%. Santorum
leads Romney 32% to 30% among those saying they will
vote on March 6, followed by Gingrich with 23%, and Paul with
9%. Santorum leads
with 43% among
likely Republican
primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party,
followed by Gingrich with 30%, Romney with 17%, and Paul
with 5%. Among likely primary voters saying they are
not supporters of the Tea Party
or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 49%,
followed by Santorum with 24%, Paul
with 14%, and Gingrich with 8%.
Santorum leads Romney 36% to 27% among
men,
followed
by Gingrich with 23% and Paul with 9%. Romney leads Santorum 35%
to 33% among women, followed by Gingrich with 18% and Paul
with 9%.
Comparisons to past surveys:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb 8-9
2012 |
Mar
1-3
2012 |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
16% |
20% |
| Paul |
13% |
9% |
| Romney |
27% |
31% |
| Santorum |
34% |
35% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
9% |
4% |
Preference
by party:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Republicans (76%) |
Independents (24%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
25% |
6% |
| Paul |
8% |
12% |
| Romney |
28% |
40% |
| Santorum |
35% |
34% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
3% |
7% |
Preference
by likely to vote:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Early vote (19%) |
Will vote (81%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
11% |
23% |
| Paul |
7% |
9% |
| Romney |
35% |
30% |
| Santorum |
47% |
32% |
| Other |
- |
1% |
| Undecided |
- |
6% |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (57%) |
Not/Undecided (43%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
30% |
8% |
| Paul |
5% |
14% |
| Romney |
17% |
49% |
| Santorum |
43% |
24% |
| Other |
- |
2% |
| Undecided |
5% |
3% |
Preference by Sex:
| Tennessee |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (52%) |
Female (48%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
23% |
18% |
| Paul |
9% |
9% |
| Romney |
27% |
35% |
| Santorum |
36% |
33% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
4% |
4% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in Tennessee (455 self-identified Republicans,
89 self-identified independents, and 56 self-identified Democrats). Sample
Dates: March 1-3, 2012 Margin of Error: ±
4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2
of 1 percent. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron
Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential primary?
|
