American Research Group, Inc.

Michigan

Presidential Caucus Preference:

 

Michigan
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Jan 2007 Feb 2007 May 2007 Sep 2007 Jan 9-11 Jan 12-14
Biden 2% 2% 3% 2% ni ni
Clark 2% 1% - ni ni ni
Clinton 30% 35% 38% 43% 57% 56%
Dodd 1% 1% 2% 1% ni ni
Edwards 17% 14% 14% 14% ni ni
Gravel - - - - - 1%
Kerry 1% ni ni ni ni ni
Kucinich 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Obama 30% 30% 25% 21% ni ni
Richardson - 1% 2% 5% ni ni
Vilsack - ni ni ni ni ni
Uncommitted ni ni ni ni 28% 31%
Undecided 14% 15% 14% 12% 12% 9%

Please note that the official Michigan ballot only includes Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Uncommitted, and a write-in line. Write-in candidates, however, must agree to be a write-in candidate for their votes to count. John Edwards and Barack Obama have not agreed to be write-in candidates.

Preference by party:

 

Michigan
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Democrats (81%) Independents (19%)
Clinton 56% 58%
Gravel 1% -
Kucinich 1% 9%
Uncommitted 33% 24%
Undecided 9% 9%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in Michigan (484 Democrats and 116 independent voters).

Sample Dates: January 12-14, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, and an uncommitted line on the ballot, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary?

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