American Research Group, Inc.

Florida

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Florida
Likely Republican Primary Voters Jan 20-21 Jan 23-24 Jan 25-26 Jan 27-28
Giuliani 16% 14% 11% 11%
Huckabee 17% 15% 14% 12%
Keyes 1% 1% 1% 1%
McCain 29% 31% 32% 32%
Paul 6% 3% 4% 4%
Romney 22% 26% 33% 34%
Thompson 6% ni ni ni
Undecided 3% 10% 5% 6%

 

Florida
Likely Republican Primary Voters Jan 07 Feb 07 May 07 Jul 07 Sep 07
Brownback 1% - 1% 1% 1%
Gilmore - 1% - - ni
Giuliani 30% 28% 31% 33% 26%
Gingrich 16% 8% 8% 3% 4%
Hagel 2% 1% 1% 1% ni
Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Hunter - 1% 1% - 1%
McCain 15% 38% 18% 7% 18%
Pataki 1% 1% - - ni
Paul ni - - 1% 3%
Romney 2% 7% 11% 12% 14%
Tancredo ni 1% 1% - -
F Thompson ni ni 13% 27% 16%
T Thompson - - 1% 1% ni
Undecided 32% 14% 13% 13% 14%

 

 

 

Preference by party:

 

Florida
Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (97%) Independents (3%)
Giuliani 11% -
Huckabee 12% 12%
Keyes 1% -
McCain 31% 53%
Paul 4% -
Romney 34% 29%
Undecided 7% 6%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Florida (584 Republicans and 16 independent (no party and new voters) voters).

Sample Dates: January 27-28, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?

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