|
2012 Oklahoma Republican
Presidential
Primary
Pollster
Ratings The following table
lists the
accuracy of pollsters in the March 6, 2012 Oklahoma
Republican
Presidential primary
using the measure
of polling accuracy
proposed
by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
An accuracy measure of 0.00 indicates
that the odds ratio of the survey results matches the odds ratio of the actual results (the
closer to 0.00, the better).
| 2012 Oklahoma Republican Presidential Primary
|
|
Santorum |
Romney |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
|
| YouGov |
38% |
30% |
1.05 |
0.05 |
| ARG |
37% |
25% |
1.23 |
0.20 |
| Sooner Poll |
39% |
23% |
1.40 |
0.34 |
| Rasmussen |
43% |
18% |
1.98 |
0.68* |
|
| Actual |
33.8% |
28.0% |
|
|
The accuracy
measures for the YouGov and the Rasmussen
polls differ at the 95% confidence interval.
*
The accuracy measure for
the Rasmussen poll falls outside the
95% confidence interval. |
