American Research Group, Inc.

 

2011 New York 26th CD Special Election Pollster Ratings

The following table lists the accuracy of pollsters in the May 24, 2011 special election for the New York 26th Congressional District using the measure of polling accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.  

NY 26th CD
Hochul Corwin Odds
Ratio
Accuracy
Siena 42% 38% 0.99 -0.01
PPP 42% 36% 1.05 0.04
Actual 47.2% 42.3%

 

The accuracy measures for both surveys are within the 95% confidence interval.

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