American Research Group, Inc.


June 22, 2009

Obama Job Disapproval Jumps

A total of 41% of Americans say they disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, which is up from 32% in May, according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. Overall, 57% of Americans say they approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president. When it comes to Obama's handling of the economy, 48% of Americans approve and 47% disapprove.

Among Americans registered to vote, 56% approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president and 42% disapprove. On Obama's handling of the economy, 48% of registered voters approve and 47% disapprove.

Among independent voters, 47% approve of the way Obama is handling his job and 48% disapprove. In May, 57% of independents approved and 42% disapproved. As for Obama's handling of the economy, 36% of independents approve and 59% disapprove, compared to 55% approve and 41% disapprove among independents in May.

The results presented here are based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews conducted among a nationwide random sample of adults 18 years and older. The interviews were completed June 18 through 21, 2009. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Overall, 57% of Americans say that they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, 41% disapprove, and 2% are undecided.

Obama job approval Approve Disapprove Undecided
Jun 2009 57% 41% 2%
May 2009 61% 32% 7%
Apr 2009 57% 38% 5%
Mar 2009 56% 37% 7%
Feb 2009 60% 33% 7%
George W. Bush:
Jan 2009
38% 54% 8%
Dec 2008 28% 67% 5%
Nov 2008 26% 67% 7%
Oct 2008 20% 75% 5%
Sep 2008 19% 76% 5%
Aug 2008 30% 64% 6%
Jul 2008 21% 72% 7%
Jun 2008 25% 71% 4%

Among Republicans (31% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 21% approve of the way Obama is handling his job and 78% disapprove. Among Democrats (41% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 89% approve and 10% disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job. Among independents (28% of adults registered to vote in the survey), 47% approve and 48% disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president.

Overall, 48% of Americans say that they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy, 46% disapprove, and 6% are undecided. Among registered voters, 48% approve and 47% disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy.

Obama handling the economy Approve Disapprove Undecided
Jun 2009 48% 46% 6%
May 2009 59% 35% 6%
Apr 2009 50% 43% 7%
Mar 2009 49% 44% 7%
Feb 2009 55% 39% 6%
George W. Bush:
Jan 2009
31% 58% 11%
Dec 2008 24% 72% 4%
Nov 2008 23% 70% 7%
Oct 2008 20% 77% 3%
Sep 2008 17% 78% 5%
Aug 2008 25% 69% 6%
Jul 2008 17% 77% 6%
Jun 2008 23% 73% 4%

Among Republicans, 14% approve of the way Obama is handling the economy and 79% disapprove. Among Democrats, 81% approve of the way Obama is handling the economy and 14% disapprove. Among independents, 36% approve and 59% disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy.

A total of 33% of Americans say that the national economy is getting better, 22% say it is staying the same, and 44% say the national economy is getting worse.

National economy

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Jun 2009 33% 22% 44% 1%
May 2009 23% 43% 28% 6%
Apr 2009 26% 36% 37% 1%
Mar 2009 20% 37% 40% 3%
Feb 2009 4% 28% 63% 5%
Jan 2009 3% 32% 59% 6%
Dec 2008 9% 28% 59% 4%
Nov 2008 15% 18% 65% 2%
Oct 2008 6% 26% 54% 14%
Sep 2008 - 13% 82% 5%
Aug 2008 18% 19% 60% 3%
Jul 2008 3% 20% 76% 1%
Jun 2008 7% 18% 73% 2%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 567% say getting better, 30% say staying the same, and 13% say getting worse. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 1% say getting better, 12% say staying the same, and 86% say getting worse.

A total of 51% of Americans say they believe the national economy will be better a year from now, 21% say it will be the same, 27% say it will be worse, and 1% are undecided.

National economy a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than today

Undecided

Jun 2009 51% 21% 27% 1%
May 2009 62% 14% 23% 1%
Apr 2009 60% 12% 24% 4%
Mar 2009 53% 22% 19% 6%
Feb 2009 47% 24% 24% 5%
Jan 2009 49% 28% 20% 3%
Dec 2008 59% 22% 14% 5%
Nov 2008 54% 27% 17% 2%
Oct 2008 56% 21% 20% 3%
Sep 2008 42% 27% 13% 18%
Aug 2008 31% 34% 28% 7%
Jul 2008 29% 17% 39% 15%
Jun 2008 24% 31% 39% 6%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 81% say better, 17% say the same as today, and 1% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president, 13% say better, 28% say the same, and 58% say worse.

Overall, 67% of Americans say they believe that the national economy is in a recession, 21% say they do not believe the economy is in a recession, and 12% are undecided.

National economy in a recession Yes No Undecided
Jun 2009 67% 21% 12%
May 2009 86% 8% 6%
Apr 2009 70% 18% 12%
Mar 2009 83% 8% 9%
Feb 2009 85% 5% 10%
Jan 2009 80% 13% 7%
Dec 2008 76% 9% 15%
Nov 2008 74% 13% 13%
Oct 2008 54% 10% 36%
Sep 2008 68% 28% 4%
Aug 2008 58% 30% 12%
Jul 2008 68% 15% 17%
Jun 2008 52% 22% 26%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 59% say the national economy is in a recession and 26% say the national economy is not in a recession. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 776% say the national economy is in a recession and 15% say the national economy is not in a recession.

A total of 35% of Americans rate the national economy as excellent, very good, or good and 64% rate it as bad, very bad, or terrible.

National economy

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Jun 2009 3% 13% 19% 30% 14% 20% 1%
May 2009 1% 3% 13% 48% 19% 15% 1%
Apr 2009 2% 2% 13% 42% 26% 14% 1%
Mar 2009 7% 3% 6% 34% 24% 25% 1%
Feb 2009 2% 2% 8% 31% 25% 31% 1%
Jan 2009 1% 3% 12% 35% 16% 32% 1%
Dec 2008 3% 2% 8% 34% 18% 34% 1%
Nov 2008 1% 1% 16% 26% 19% 36% 1%
Oct 2008 2% 2% 16% 50% 11% 18% 1%
Sep 2008 2% 4% 12% 10% 7% 64% 1%
Aug 2008 8% 12% 22% 24% 11% 22% 1%
Jul 2008 3% 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 1%
Jun 2008 2% 4% 18% 28% 23% 24% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 62% say excellent, very good, or good and 27% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of  the way Obama is handling his job, 3% say excellent, very good, or good and 96% say bad, very bad, or terrible.

When it comes to rating their household financial situations, 77% of Americans give an excellent, very good, or good rating and 22% give a bad, very bad, or terrible rating.

Household financial situation

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Jun 2009 8% 19% 50% 13% 4% 5% 1%
May 2009 6% 17% 40% 20% 12% 4% 1%
Apr 2009 6% 14% 48% 19% 6% 6% 1%
Mar 2009 6% 14% 51% 18% 6% 4% 1%
Feb 2009 6% 17% 48% 19% 7% 2% 1%
Jan 2009 1% 20% 46% 24% 6% 2% 1%
Dec 2008 4% 10% 51% 19% 7% 8% 1%
Nov 2008 7% 13% 37% 29% 4% 9% 1%
Oct 2008 10% 5% 31% 28% 22% 3% 1%
Sep 2008 9% 9% 39% 26% 15% 2% -
Aug 2008 11% 20% 39% 17% 6% 6% 1%
Jul 2008 6% 7% 44% 24% 17% 1% 1%
Jun 2008 2% 11% 42% 34% 3% 7% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 84% say excellent, very good, or good and 15% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 70% say very good, or good and 29% say bad, very bad, or terrible.

A total of 11% of Americans say they think the financial situations in their households are getting better, 67% say staying the same, and 20% say getting worse.

Household financial situation

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Jun 2009 11% 67% 20% 2%
May 2009 7% 68% 24% 1%
Apr 2009 13% 58% 27% 2%
Mar 2009 7% 55% 31% 7%
Feb 2009 8% 52% 36% 4%
Jan 2009 2% 54% 43% 1%
Dec 2008 5% 50% 41% 4%
Nov 2008 10% 35% 51% 4%
Oct 2008 5% 47% 32% 16%
Sep 2008 - 56% 42% 2%
Aug 2008 19% 42% 36% 3%
Jul 2008 7% 31% 61% 1%
Jun 2008 4% 40% 55% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 16% say getting better, 73% say staying the same, and 11% say getting worse. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 5% say getting better, 59% say staying the same, and 31% say getting worse.

Looking to a year from now, 36% of Americans say that they think their household financial situations will be better than today, 36% say the same as today, and 22% say worse than today.

Household financial situation a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than today

Undecided

Jun 2009 36% 36% 22% 6%
May 2009 31% 49% 18% 2%
Apr 2009 37% 44% 7% 12%
Mar 2009 35% 44% 15% 6%
Feb 2009 38% 40% 19% 3%
Jan 2009 38% 45% 12% 5%
Dec 2008 36% 44% 15% 5%
Nov 2008 40% 34% 21% 5%
Oct 2008 26% 43% 15% 16%
Sep 2008 39% 37% 15% 9%
Aug 2008 30% 42% 24% 4%
Jul 2008 17% 41% 30% 12%
Jun 2008 21% 34% 37% 8%

Among those saying they approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 49% say better than today, 40% say the same as today, and 8% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 20% say better than today, 31% say the same as today, and 38% say worse than today.

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting national surveys of consumers since 1985.

Sample Size: 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of all adults age 18 and older living in telephone households in the continental United States.

Sample Dates: June 18-21, 2009

Margin of Error: ± 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording and Order:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

How do you rate the condition of the national economy these days - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the national economy is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

Would you say that the national economy is in a recession, or not?

A year from now, do you expect the national economy to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

How do you rate the condition of the financial situation in your household - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the financial situation in your household is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

A year from now, do you expect the financial situation in your household to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

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